causation (Introduction)

by George Jelliss ⌂ @, Crewe, Thursday, May 22, 2014, 22:50 (3620 days ago)

Why some of us are obsessed with causation-http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation-55801/?

--
GPJ

causation

by David Turell @, Thursday, May 22, 2014, 23:01 (3620 days ago) @ George Jelliss

George: Why some of us are obsessed with causation
> 
> http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation... can't get it to download. i signed up but nothing after that.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, May 23, 2014, 02:51 (3619 days ago) @ George Jelliss

Why some of us are obsessed with causation
> 
> http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation... I don't have access either.-Having said that ... I can't say I am obsessed about causation, but if we wish derive any sort of meaning out of this universe or in our lives then causation for me is vital.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, May 23, 2014, 15:43 (3619 days ago) @ romansh

Why some of us are obsessed with causation
> > 
> > http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation... 
> Romansh: Well I don't have access either.
> 
> Having said that ... I can't say I am obsessed about causation, but if we wish derive any sort of meaning out of this universe or in our lives then causation for me is vital.-Still no access, but Google finds a summary:-"We default to cause-and-effect thinking to maintain control over our lives and everything that touches them, but some things just don't have clear answers."-David: Of course some questions have no clear answers, but that is why we debate, because humans like to understand and have answers. We are ever curious, and wish to understand the 'why' as well as the 'how'

causation

by dhw, Friday, May 23, 2014, 16:50 (3619 days ago) @ David Turell

GEORGE: Why some of us are obsessed with causation-http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation...-Perhaps the article is only available to us in the UK, as I had no trouble accessing it. I do, however, have trouble with the content. The author cherry picks a few examples of what he considers to be random events, and totally ignores the billions of examples in which there is a clear relationship between cause and effect. Even his own examples are extremely dubious (e.g. an athlete's poor performance, or the ups and downs of the stock market, both of which are just as likely to have a concrete cause as to be the result of random factors). However, his apparently reasonable conclusion needs very careful analysis:-"Humanity's need for concrete causation likely stems from our unceasing desire to maintain some iota of control over our lives. That we are simply victims of luck and randomness may be exhilarating to a madcap few, but it is altogether discomforting to most. By seeking straightforward explanations at every turn, we preserve the notion that we can always affect our condition in some meaningful way. Unfortunately, that idea is a facade. Some things don't have clear answers. Some things are just random. Some things simply can't be controlled."-I think most people would accept that some events are random and can't be controlled, and that we can't ALWAYS affect our condition, but this doesn't mean that the idea is ALWAYS a facade. A sportsman may not have trained as well as he should, e.g. because of personal problems; the stock market may have crashed because certain institutions have gone bust. If we fall ill, perhaps there is a definite cause which the doctor can remove. To say we are "obsessed" with causation is simply a negative use of language that ignores virtually every facet of human progress, from medicine to technology to psychiatry to commerce to the very food we eat.
 
However, the author may have an agenda. The article begins:-"We are pattern seekers, believers in a coherent world, in which regularities appear not by accident but as a result of mechanical causality or of someone's intention."
Daniel Kahneman's words ring true for all of us; humans are creatures of causality. We like effects to have causes, and we detest incoherent randomness. Why else would the quintessential question of existence give rise to so many sleepless nights, endear billions to religion, or single-handedly fuel philosophy?-I don't know enough about Ross Pomeroy or the Pacific Standard to tell whether " victims of luck and randomness" is a way of saying that luck and randomness are his answer to the quintessential question of existence. If so, he has chosen what seems to me a remarkably inept way of putting his case. If not,do we really need to be told that "some things don't have clear answers"?

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, May 23, 2014, 19:08 (3619 days ago) @ dhw

GEORGE: Why some of us are obsessed with causation
> 
> http://www.psmag.com/science/creatures-of-coherence-why-were-so-obsessed-with-causation... dhw: I don't know enough about Ross Pomeroy or the Pacific Standard to tell whether " victims of luck and randomness" is a way of saying that luck and randomness are his answer to the quintessential question of existence. If so, he has chosen what seems to me a remarkably inept way of putting his case. If not,do we really need to be told that "some things don't have clear answers"?-Thanks for supplying the content. It does not seem to want to cross the Atlantic, or perhaps the philosophic content is blocked from coming, as foolish as it sounds through your interpretation. George should tell us why it interested him. Will he defend it?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Monday, May 26, 2014, 04:18 (3616 days ago) @ dhw

From the quotes the author seems to be cinflatinf random with without cause. While quantum phenomenon may well be acausal, quite deterministic system can also be deterministic.-Here is a good summary of random. (I think)-http://www.random.org/randomness/

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, May 26, 2014, 15:29 (3616 days ago) @ romansh

Romansh From the quotes the author seems to be cinflatinf random with without cause. While quantum phenomenon may well be acausal, quite deterministic system can also be deterministic.
> 
> Here is a good summary of random. (I think)
> 
> http://www.random.org/randomness/-The article says we can even be skeptical about randomness, but cause and effect can be determined, and why not?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Tuesday, May 27, 2014, 15:00 (3615 days ago) @ David Turell

http://www.random.org/randomness/
> 
> The article says we can even be skeptical about randomness, but cause and effect can be determined, and why not?-1) Our models are not accurate enough.
2) The variables we feed into the models are incomplete and not accurate enough.
3) The calculation (determination) of the effect will affect the effect ... Having self referential sets etc.-This is completely in a Newtonian world ... and we can add quatum phenomena into the mix where we are uncertain how to envisage the underlying mechanism (if any).

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 03:49 (3614 days ago) @ David Turell

addendum-determine is one those strange words that can have different meanings when discussing causation.-it can simply be a synonym for cause ... ie our actions causes [determines] the future.-it can be a synonym destine ... our future is destined [determined].-it can also mean predicted ... our future can be predicted [determined].-
So when you ask but cause and effect can be determined, and why not?-I am not entirely sure what you are asking.

causation

by David Turell @, Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 04:44 (3614 days ago) @ romansh


> 
> romansh So when you ask but cause and effect can be determined, and why not?
> 
> I am not entirely sure what you are asking.-I am using determined in the sense of proof. We should be able to show how cause results in effect.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 14:27 (3614 days ago) @ David Turell

I am using determined in the sense of proof. We should be able to show how cause results in effect.-Then you are using it in the sense of calculate I suggested before. You have a self referential set David. Good luck with that and any proofs you think you may have.

causation

by David Turell @, Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 15:05 (3614 days ago) @ romansh

DAvid: I am using determined in the sense of proof. We should be able to show how cause results in effect.
> 
> Romansh: Then you are using it in the sense of calculate I suggested before. You have a self referential set David. Good luck with that and any proofs you think you may have.-If that is the case, how does Romansh prove anything? Do you accept the ability to provide proofs?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Thursday, May 29, 2014, 03:05 (3613 days ago) @ David Turell

If that is the case, how does Romansh prove anything? Do you accept the ability to provide proofs?-Romansh does not prove anything in real life. In logic puzzles romansh accepts axioms and logic rules. In that context I will accept a proof.

causation

by David Turell @, Thursday, May 29, 2014, 06:36 (3613 days ago) @ romansh

David:If that is the case, how does Romansh prove anything? Do you accept the ability to provide proofs?
> 
> Romansh: Romansh does not prove anything in real life. In logic puzzles romansh accepts axioms and logic rules. In that context I will accept a proof.-I've never had formal training in logic. I assume you have proof you exist. If the appple falls on your head do you assume gravity, or simmply propose the theoretical existence of a gravitional force? This is not a facetious comment. I am trying to define how you accept proof in science.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, May 30, 2014, 07:10 (3612 days ago) @ David Turell

I've never had formal training in logic. 
Neither have I.
> I assume you have proof you exist.
You assume incorrectly. I have a tonne of evidence for my existence though. 
> If the appple falls on your head do you assume gravity, or simmply propose the theoretical existence of a gravitional force?
If an apple falls it evidence for:
a force
curved space time
god
take your pick David. 
> This is not a facetious comment. I am trying to define how you accept proof in science.
In science I don't accept proof; I accept evidence. Science does not reach the truth. I have been saying this all along.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, May 30, 2014, 12:16 (3612 days ago) @ romansh
edited by unknown, Friday, May 30, 2014, 12:42

All of them are are more "real" than "fake" rom. -"truth", you say that like it as an "absolute value". We don't know enough yet to state it like this. What we do have is the "best truth" we can have today. So would we follow "no truth" or "the best we have"?-also, science is not a "thing". It is a process. So you are kind of right. But science does not accept anything. "science" is the process of "data collection". Then "scientist" come in. Science and scientist is like accounting and accountant.-I make this distinction because I feel people that are not "science" minded shy away from "SIENCE!!!!! says" because they don't feel they are up to it. I always tell them 'are you afraid of accounting?" Would you? could you? question an accountant? They answer "yes". Then I ask them what color is that wall? They tell me a "color" and I say there you just "did science". But then I tell them there is no color white. That is when the party starts.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 01:41 (3612 days ago) @ GateKeeper

All of them are are more "real" than "fake" rom. 
> 
> "truth", you say that like it as an "absolute value". We don't know enough yet to state it like this. What we do have is the "best truth" we can have today. So would we follow "no truth" or "the best we have"?
So what?-We have proof beyond a reasonable doubt and on the balance of probabilties in the criminal and civil legal systems. -We should follow the best we have ... and that is an opinion and not the truth.
> also, science is not a "thing". It is a process. So you are kind of right. But science does not accept anything. "science" is the process of "data collection". Then "scientist" come in. Science and scientist is like accounting and accountant.
Agreed
Science is a process.
It is about explaining observations with hypotheses making more observations to see if they fit. If the hypotheses don't fit they are thrown out. there is no end point. There is no absolute truth, no stuff proven. There are observations that fit the current theories.-There is disproof.-Frankly proof is for amateurs, logicians and alcohol.-> I make this distinction because I feel people that are not "science" minded shy away from "SIENCE!!!!! says" because they don't feel they are up to it. I always tell them 'are you afraid of accounting?" Would you? could you? question an accountant? They answer "yes". Then I ask them what color is that wall? They tell me a "color" and I say there you just "did science". But then I tell them there is no color white. That is when the party starts.-And? ... people get it wrong. It is not a crime, though I would hope some people would know better.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 02:33 (3611 days ago) @ romansh
edited by unknown, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 02:41

truth is like how your monism fits the conclusion of "god". I think that is cool. Observation matches conclusion. It is as true as it can be. Until we have more evidence. then it may be "more true" or "less true". its not 'untrue" today.-"yeah, so what ... ". so what, is just that. they are all "more real" than "fake" . You could stop at "yeah". .-err. you brought up a current legal system rom. Why? I mean we are using it, that's empirical. And we should keep trying to make it better. So I am lost to your point there. Politics and science don't mix. I wish they did really. -Science is observation and data collection. Scientist draw the conclusions on that data. Again, science and scientist is like Accounting and accountant. I explained why I like to make that clear. I don't think it is unreasonable. can you explain why you think it is? or at seems to like that too me?-a crime" to be wrong? Again, you are somewhere I am not. I explained that being wrong is GREAT to me. So what do you mean?-"proof". you only have "disproof". I know that don't I. You have "nothing is "real". I have "if it is all fake, then what we have is as real as it gets". That is scary, I understand.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 17:48 (3611 days ago) @ GateKeeper

truth is like how your monism fits the conclusion of "god". 
While my outlook can be quite monistic, my only claim is that it is a better description than dualism and pluralism (the philosophical version). And it is my claim for me. -> err. you brought up a current legal system rom. Why? I mean we are using it, that's empirical. And we should keep trying to make it better. So I am lost to your point there. Politics and science don't mix. I wish they did really. 
I brought it up because it deals with proof. It talks about beyond a reasonal doubt for criminal law and a lower standard of balance of probabilities - civil law.-I am not complaining about the legal system, but simply using an example of how proof is used. When an innocent man is incarcerated because of "proof" is it proof?
> Science is observation and data collection. Scientist draw the conclusions on that data. Again, science and scientist is like Accounting and accountant. I explained why I like to make that clear. I don't think it is unreasonable. can you explain why you think it is? or at seems to like that too me
Science is more than observation ... it also includes reconciliation with hypotheses. It may draw conclusions but the process itself does not come to a conclusion (proof).
 
> "proof". you only have "disproof". I know that don't I. You have "nothing is "real". I have "if it is all fake, then what we have is as real as it gets". That is scary, I understand.
No I don't have nothing is real. Absolutely wrong. For me everything is real. It is my perceptions and conclusions (and those of others even more so) that I don't trust and consider them likely as illusory.-You mentioned there is no such thing as the colour white. You could take that argument even further to any colour ... no matter how monochromatic it is. And yet there is a reality beyond my perception.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 21:19 (3611 days ago) @ romansh

maybe, I am as sensitive about the word "science" as you are about "proof" because of how I see it being used to control a situation for personal gain. -Maybe I am afraid too. I will have to think about that.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 16:35 (3609 days ago) @ romansh

no, on color, we cannot go too far. But I get your point. There is only "emr" for me too.-After your post about how I treat science I think I see our disconnect. Sorta.-You won't make a prediction. Which is fine. Then I realize you were British and Montgomery didn't either'. That's a data point to me. When we talk about "why" it makes/can perfect sense.-I am American. We are "brash" that is a data point too. Yelling at me to "slow down big mouth".-But I understand these things. When uncertainty holds up a reasonable prediction it then looks a lot like "afraid". That too is fine. But we have to be honest about it.-There is no logical reason not to make reasonable predictions sometimes. Like the light. If we disagree with everybody, it might just be us. That is the sphere we are on.-On monism. Like I said. It is proof of god. I like it a lot.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, May 30, 2014, 15:27 (3612 days ago) @ romansh

Romansh: In science I don't accept proof; I accept evidence. Science does not reach the truth. I have been saying this all along.-Fair enough. Evidence then becomes a scaffolding on which we build more and more knowledge about the reality in which we live. But that sounds shakey to me. At what point do you accept the idea that the evidence is solid enough to view as factual, or is there always a doubt? Do enough confirmatory studies suffice? For you are there any truths?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 01:49 (3612 days ago) @ David Turell

Romansh: In science I don't accept proof; I accept evidence. Science does not reach the truth. I have been saying this all along.
> 
> Fair enough. Evidence then becomes a scaffolding on which we build more and more knowledge about the reality in which we live. But that sounds shakey to me. At what point do you accept the idea that the evidence is solid enough to view as factual, or is there always a doubt? Do enough confirmatory studies suffice? For you are there any truths?-Newton's laws are a reasonable approximation, for the most part, of everyday life. I can accept that as a so called fact. They have been "proven" as a reasonable approximation, though we know there are better (more accurate) models for our observations.-Our observations might be considered facts ... but there is always uncertainty with observations. -At work people talk about processes that have been proven, ie used successfully for a century or so. What they mean they have been demonstrated. The next ore we find or concentrate we buy might not be amenable to the process.

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 02:40 (3611 days ago) @ romansh

Romansh: Our observations might be considered facts ... but there is always uncertainty with observations. 
> 
> At work people talk about processes that have been proven, ie used successfully for a century or so. What they mean they have been demonstrated. The next ore we find or concentrate we buy might not be amenable to the process.-You have been quite clear about your viewpoint. Thank you. I'm sure you accept simple causation: i.e., I throw the switch and the light comes on.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 02:56 (3611 days ago) @ David Turell

doesn't that "prove" the "power" is on? assuming a regular room?-
what point am I missing? -before I stick this screw driver in, prove to me the power is off? -That is amateurish? You aren't sure after they hit the switch and the light doesn't go on that you can't be sure it's off. Is That what is problematic to you?

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 03:08 (3611 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK:That is amateurish? You aren't sure after they hit the switch and the light doesn't go on that you can't be sure it's off. Is That what is problematic to you?-No, I'm simply pointing out that there are levels of proof of causation

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 03:23 (3611 days ago) @ David Turell
edited by unknown, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 04:12

I agree with you. Thanks tho-I misplaced the reply. it was for rom
Sorry.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 16:58 (3611 days ago) @ David Turell


> > GK:That is amateurish? You aren't sure after they hit the switch and the light doesn't go on that you can't be sure it's off. Is That what is problematic to you?
> 
> No, I'm simply pointing out that there are levels of proof of causation-Proofs of causation with different levels of certainty?

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 18:12 (3611 days ago) @ romansh


> > David; No, I'm simply pointing out that there are levels of proof of causation
> 
> Rom: Proofs of causation with different levels of certainty?-Yes

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 19:47 (3611 days ago) @ David Turell


> > > David; No, I'm simply pointing out that there are levels of proof of causation
> > 
> > Rom: Proofs of causation with different levels of certainty?
> 
> Yes
Then you are using proof in its trivial sense ... equivalent to evidence.

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 02:09 (3611 days ago) @ romansh


> > > Rom: Proofs of causation with different levels of certainty?
> > 
> > David: Yes
> Rom:Then you are using proof in its trivial sense ... equivalent to evidence.-Depends on the specific subject of cause and effect. Again, the light switch is no problem. But I use the best scientific conclusions with reference to God, with a full willingness to change my conclusions, if the scientific data change.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 13:35 (3610 days ago) @ David Turell

rom has never heard that before.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 16:56 (3611 days ago) @ GateKeeper
edited by unknown, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 17:26

doesn't that "prove" the "power" is on? assuming a regular room?-Here we enter the world of the logician.
You axiom - assuming we have a regular room.-Alternatively we can have a world where we have an electrical circuit that has a current source applied and the circuit is closed - work will be done. This is very definitely an observation.-> what point am I missing? -Other than a very trivial sense of proof ... ie we are convinced 
 
> before I stick this screw driver in, prove to me the power is off? -I can only provide you evidence. eg stick in a circuit tester into your socket. But that might not show that the circuit has an intermittent fault or that it been wired incorrectly.
 
> That is amateurish? You aren't sure after they hit the switch and the light doesn't go on that you can't be sure it's off. Is That what is problematic to you?-Yes to my mind it is amateurish when it comes to science. Just because I am convinced it does not mean it is proven. Are you convinced there is a god? is it proven?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 21:12 (3611 days ago) @ romansh

You are over weighting the word "proof". It is in your mind. That is the disconnect. When I talk to you I just know that you weight the word "proof" like some weight the word "god". "they" say I trivialize their "god" too. -
I am as convinced of "god" as you are of "monism".

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, May 31, 2014, 21:30 (3611 days ago) @ GateKeeper

You are over weighting the word "proof". It is in your mind. That is the disconnect. When I talk to you I just know that you weight the word "proof" like some weight the word "god". "they" say I trivialize their "god" too. 
> 
> 
> I am as convinced of "god" as you are of "monism".-Whether or not you trivialize god, while interesting, it is not the case at hand.-David's use of the word proof being roughly synonymous with corroborating evidence at some level of certainty, means by his lights he has proof for the existence of god.-If David does not mean this then he should clarify his meaning of the word proof. I have tried to be fairly explicit in my use of the word. This in your view is overweighting.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 01:09 (3611 days ago) @ romansh

that is between you and David.-For me. You said "amateurish". I now see why. When two reasonable people can't agree there is usually some type of disconnect. "science" for me and "proof" for you. We have some type of outside stressor for these two words. especially when we both know what the words mean.

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 02:17 (3610 days ago) @ romansh

Rom: David's use of the word proof being roughly synonymous with corroborating evidence at some level of certainty, means by his lights he has proof for the existence of god.
> 
> If David does not mean this then he should clarify his meaning of the word proof. I have tried to be fairly explicit in my use of the word. This in your view is overweighting.-I don't have absolute proof of God. No one can. What I use is Adler's proof beyond a reasonable doubt approach. I find the scientific evidence I have reviewed to overwhelming point to the existence of a greater power, presuming that the generally accepted findings are correct, but my mind will change if those scientific theories are modified enough. I go with the evidence as I see it.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 13:38 (3610 days ago) @ David Turell

wow, almost the exact same thing I use to say so many years ago in my first forums. Evidence and certainty, as stable as an atom moving through space. It is amazing how close we are in our beliefs.-how are you at engineering it for the masses?-just a side note on english as a second lang. It took me 2 views to catch "as" typed as "ss". That wouldn't have went over so well.

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 16:04 (3610 days ago) @ GateKeeper

GK: wow, almost the exact same thing I use to say so many years ago in my first forums. Evidence and certainty, as stable as an atom moving through space. It is amazing how close we are in our beliefs.
> 
> how are you at engineering it for the masses?-Read my last book: The Atheist Delusion: Science IS Finding God.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 15:49 (3610 days ago) @ David Turell

I don't have absolute proof of God. No one can. What I use is Adler's proof beyond a reasonable doubt approach. I find the scientific evidence I have reviewed to overwhelming point to the existence of a greater power, presuming that the generally accepted findings are correct, but my mind will change if those scientific theories are modified enough. I go with the evidence as I see it.-I did not ask whether you had absolute proof of god. Do you have proof of god?
And if so how is this proof different from evidence for god?-Adler's proof - what are his axioms? Are they reasonable? What are the weaknesses of his arguments?-And yet I find your general musings insufficient to come to a conclusion regarding a panentheistic god. So your proof is entirely personal?-Anyway ... your use of proof is remains equivalent of evidence.-And any proof that has an argument form incredulity in it is not a proof in my book.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 15:57 (3610 days ago) @ romansh

to rom:-
there is no difference for some.-"proof". Cab be loosely thought of as a conclusion at the end of a lab report. At some point rom you have to address the "weight" you are assigning this "word". And why it is different from so many others.-we all get it. evidence and certainty. Why do you focus on "uncertainty"?

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 16:14 (3610 days ago) @ romansh


> Rom: I did not ask whether you had absolute proof of god. Do you have proof of god?
> And if so how is this proof different from evidence for god?-I said I didn't have absolute proof. I said it added up to proof beyond a reasonable doubt.
> 
> Rom: Adler's proof - what are his axioms? Are they reasonable? What are the weaknesses of his arguments?-Read his book, How to Think About God, 1980 and judge for yourself
> 
> Rom; So your proof is entirely personal?-Yes
> 
> Rom:Anyway ... your use of proof is remains equivalent of evidence.-Just what i said
> 
> Rom:And any proof that has an argument form incredulity in it is not a proof in my book.-I don't expect you to accept it. I am using the best evidence, as done by many other authors to explain why we exist. I cannot accept chance,can you?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 19:31 (3610 days ago) @ David Turell

I cannot accept chance,can you?
I accept causation. -Chance/randomness is a complicated subject.-If you simply mean by chance as something I can't predict accurately then it seems perfectly reasonable to accept chance as a cause.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 22:27 (3610 days ago) @ romansh

lol, you found an opening. you got out.-but, to be honest, "chance" is not a cause. That is like saying the coin landed on heads because of "chance". -"if you mean ..."? Wait, did you just mess with a definition again?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 22:38 (3610 days ago) @ GateKeeper
edited by unknown, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 22:48

lol, you found an opening. you got out.
> 
> but, to be honest, "chance" is not a cause. That is like saying the coin landed on heads because of "chance". 
> 
> "if you mean ..."? Wait, did you just mess with a definition again?-Please read this short piece/essay by a gentleman who provides random numbers as a business.
http://www.random.org/randomness/
What is your definition of chance?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 01, 2014, 23:38 (3610 days ago) @ romansh

Lets see ... "The coin landed on heads because of "chance".-done. -if you need to review the work, go right ahead. -'I don't know" is also not a reason but it is a VERY valid stance. I use it a lot.

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 00:10 (3610 days ago) @ romansh

Rom: What is your definition of chance?-An outcome not requiring a specifed result.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 14:55 (3609 days ago) @ David Turell

Rom: What is your definition of chance?
> 
> An outcome not requiring a specifed result.-Who or what is requiring a specified result? 
Would a roulette wheel count as an event not requiring a specified result?-> Agreed. Do you think humans are here because of chance contingency, a la' Gould?
I am not familiar with Gould ... though I have heard his name a mentioned in connection with punctuated equilibrium. Disagree with the term equilibrium, the environment is definitely nowhere near equilibrium, but I understand his point.-That evolution is chaotic when viewed over millions of years is not surprising. Whether we view it deterministically or probabilitiscally.

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 15:22 (3609 days ago) @ romansh


> Rom:Who or what is requiring a specified result? 
> Would a roulette wheel count as an event not requiring a specified result?-Yes.
> -> Rom: I am not familiar with Gould ... though I have heard his name a mentioned in connection with punctuated equilibrium. Disagree with the term equilibrium, the environment is definitely nowhere near equilibrium, but I understand his point.-Then you agree with Gould that we are here by accident?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 01:51 (3606 days ago) @ David Turell


> > Rom:Who or what is requiring a specified result? 
> > Would a roulette wheel count as an event not requiring a specified result?
> 
> Yes.
> > 
> 
> > Rom: I am not familiar with Gould ... though I have heard his name a mentioned in connection with punctuated equilibrium. Disagree with the term equilibrium, the environment is definitely nowhere near equilibrium, but I understand his point.
> 
> Then you agree with Gould that we are here by accident?-Accident? A consequence more like. A result. Serendipity rather than accidental.
But accident works too.-I think evolution is a process that does not require a specified result.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 01:57 (3606 days ago) @ romansh

David: Then you agree with Gould that we are here by accident?
> 
> Rom: Accident? A consequence more like. A result. Serendipity rather than accidental.
> But accident works too.
> 
> I think evolution is a process that does not require a specified result.-Accident is the word Gould used. Then you are convinced evolution is a totally unguided process, per Darwin, with random results?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 02:07 (3606 days ago) @ David Turell

David: Then you agree with Gould that we are here by accident?
> > 
> > Rom: Accident? A consequence more like. A result. Serendipity rather than accidental.
> > But accident works too.
> > 
> > I think evolution is a process that does not require a specified result.
> 
> Accident is the word Gould used. Then you are convinced evolution is a totally unguided process, per Darwin, with random results?
Well I can't make certain predictions that evolution will take. Can you?-So in this sense they are random.-Having said that, evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 06:31 (3605 days ago) @ romansh

Rom: Well I can't make certain predictions that evolution will take. Can you?
> 
> So in this sense they are random.
> 
> Having said that, evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.-Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 12:57 (3605 days ago) @ David Turell

destiny, that is religion. Pick one. Or, if desired, make one. But we must understand the state of the machine.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 19:38 (3605 days ago) @ GateKeeper

GK: destiny, that is religion. Pick one. Or, if desired, make one. But we must understand the state of the machine.-I don't understand. To which comment are you replying?

causation

by dhw, Friday, June 06, 2014, 13:01 (3605 days ago) @ David Turell

ROMANSH: ...evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.-DAVID: Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?-Delighted to see this exchange. It clearly supports the theory that evolution proceeds according to the interaction between an ever changing environment and the adaptive and inventive mechanisms within the cell communities of the organisms themselves. No pre-planning. No pre-programming. Not even divine intervention. The organism "guides its own destiny." Hallelujah!

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 19:41 (3605 days ago) @ dhw


> dhw: Delighted to see this exchange. It clearly supports the theory that evolution proceeds according to the interaction between an ever changing environment and the adaptive and inventive mechanisms within the cell communities of the organisms themselves. No pre-planning. No pre-programming. Not even divine intervention. The organism "guides its own destiny." Hallelujah!-I don't know how you have gotten rid of pre-programming. How did cell communities develop the 'adaptive and inventive' mechanisms; by chance mutations? Where did the information required come from?

causation

by dhw, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 11:51 (3604 days ago) @ David Turell

ROMANSH: ...evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.-DAVID: Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?-Dhw: Delighted to see this exchange. It clearly supports the theory that evolution proceeds according to the interaction between an ever changing environment and the adaptive and inventive mechanisms within the cell communities of the organisms themselves. No pre-planning. No pre-programming. Not even divine intervention. The organism "guides its own destiny." Hallelujah!
-DAVID: I don't know how you have gotten rid of pre-programming. How did cell communities develop the 'adaptive and inventive' mechanisms; by chance mutations? Where did the information required come from?-Your questions have nothing to do with pre-programming, which would mean that the cell communities had no freedom of their own but simply did as they had been instructed to do - the exact opposite of an organism that "guides its own destiny". How did the mechanisms come into being? Maybe your God created them. All of the comments referred to the course of evolution, not to the origin of the mechanisms that enable evolution to take place.

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 15:43 (3604 days ago) @ dhw


> DAVID: I don't know how you have gotten rid of pre-programming. How did cell communities develop the 'adaptive and inventive' mechanisms; by chance mutations? Where did the information required come from?
> 
> dhw:Your questions have nothing to do with pre-programming, which would mean that the cell communities had no freedom of their own but simply did as they had been instructed to do - the exact opposite of an organism that "guides its own destiny". How did the mechanisms come into being? Maybe your God created them. All of the comments referred to the course of evolution, not to the origin of the mechanisms that enable evolution to take place.-But in my mind the mechanisms that allow organisms to self-direct and the processes that use mutation and natural selection are all part of evolution, working with informaton encoded in DNA and all the oher layers of genomic activity. You are splitting things up. It is demonstrated that all of this is at work at the same time. Did each part ofhe evolutionary process start at the same time or did each part develop separately? I am on the side of 'same time'.

causation

by dhw, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 15:01 (3603 days ago) @ David Turell

dhw:Your questions have nothing to do with pre-programming, which would mean that the cell communities had no freedom of their own but simply did as they had been instructed to do - the exact opposite of an organism that "guides its own destiny". How did the mechanisms come into being? Maybe your God created them. All of the comments referred to the course of evolution, not to the origin of the mechanisms that enable evolution to take place.-DAVID: But in my mind the mechanisms that allow organisms to self-direct and the processes that use mutation and natural selection are all part of evolution, working with informaton encoded in DNA and all the oher layers of genomic activity.
 
Agreed. These are the mechanisms that enable individual organisms to adapt and innovate.-DAVID: You are splitting things up. It is demonstrated that all of this is at work at the same time. Did each part ofhe evolutionary process start at the same time or did each part develop separately? I am on the side of 'same time'.-The only split I'm making is between the origin of the mechanisms for adaptation and innovation, and the manner in which evolution proceeded. Maybe your God created the mechanisms all at the same time. Who knows? This discussion is not about the origin. You have constantly insisted on preprogramming, preplanning and divine intervention as integral to the way evolution progressed. I find this inconsistent with the higgledy-piggledy bush, and have repeatedly suggested instead (I'm not as insistent on theories as you are) that the mechanisms are within the organisms, which do their own adapting and innovating in accordance with a changing environment. Since you have tactfully omitted it, let me repeat the seminal moment in your discussion with Romansh:
 
ROMANSH: ...evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.
DAVID: Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?-You said it: the organism guides its own destiny. I repeat: Hallelujah!

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 16:12 (3603 days ago) @ dhw


> dhw: ... These are the mechanisms that enable individual organisms to adapt and innovate.
> 
> The only split I'm making is between the origin of the mechanisms for adaptation and innovation, and the manner in which evolution proceeded. ......Since you have tactfully omitted it, let me repeat the seminal moment in your discussion with Romansh:
> 
> ROMANSH: ...evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.
> DAVID: Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?
> 
> You said it: the organism guides its own destiny. I repeat: Hallelujah!-Of course those controls exist, but I ask you again, is it likely they developed through a chance evolutionary process or were they there from the start? I don't accept that such mechanisms are self-developed. Their presence makes for enormous genomic complexity, beyond Darwin's own imagination, far beyond the possibility it all developed by chance with no purpose.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 16:39 (3603 days ago) @ David Turell

Of course those controls exist, but I ask you again, is it likely they developed through a chance evolutionary process or were they there from the start? I don't accept that such mechanisms are self-developed. Their presence makes for enormous genomic complexity, beyond Darwin's own imagination, far beyond the possibility it all developed by chance with no purpose.-What are the chances of some universal intelligence doing it?-Are you stepping away from the definition of chance ... ie something we can't predict accurately?-Essentially you seem to be arguing that this universe has a purpose. Personally I don't see it other than the purpose we may ascribe to it.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 16:42 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

what is more reasonable?-"chance" as defined, or "caused" as defined? -It really is that simple.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 17:09 (3603 days ago) @ GateKeeper

what is more reasonable?
> "chance" as defined, or "caused" as defined? 
> It really is that simple.-I don't really see them as separate. So the question of which is more reasonable? is superflous ... at least for me.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 17:22 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

what is more reasonable?
> > "chance" as defined, or "caused" as defined? 
> > It really is that simple.
> 
> I don't really see them as separate. So the question of which is more reasonable? is superflous ... at least for me.-
Could you explain why that answer(s) is "excessive" "needless" for me?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 18:28 (3603 days ago) @ GateKeeper

what is more reasonable?
> > > "chance" as defined, or "caused" as defined? 
> > > It really is that simple.
> > I don't really see them as separate. So the question of which is more reasonable? is superflous ... at least for me.
> Could you explain why that answer(s) is "excessive" "needless" for me?
There are two ways of interpreting your question GK-1) For you personally why is the question superflous ... You have to decide whether the question is needed for yourself.-2) If indeed chance and cause are the same thing (chaos theory) or quantum phenomena, then there is no need to have one being more reasonable than the other.-At least it seems that way to me.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 18:46 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

what is more reasonable?
> > > > "chance" as defined, or "caused" as defined? 
> > > > It really is that simple.
> > > I don't really see them as separate. So the question of which is more reasonable? is superflous ... at least for me.
> > Could you explain why that answer(s) is "excessive" "needless" for me?
> There are two ways of interpreting your question GK
> 
> 1) For you personally why is the question superflous ... You have to decide whether the question is needed for yourself.
> 
> 2) If indeed chance and cause are the same thing (chaos theory) or quantum phenomena, then there is no need to have one being more reasonable than the other.
> 
> At least it seems that way to me.-gotcha. I have no reason. Really all I have is a line of questioning that holds up under most conditions.-quantum soup is something. 
"chance" as a cause. With random as "hard to predict" within a given set of "restraints".-a reasonable conclusion, but not only one: a living universe. 
As defined by reasonable uses of the words involved.-there ya have it again. What is nice for me is that I do not believe in this "monism religion", yet it still leads to the same conclusion as mine. There will be the 10% to 20% unreasonable. But all within those limits should be proven "not reasonable". This monism is great stuff when needed.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 20:27 (3603 days ago) @ GateKeeper
edited by unknown, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 20:32

a reasonable conclusion, but not only one: a living universe. 
Unfortunately a living universe does not get us anywhere. We end up playing semantic games. If the universe is living so are the rocks in my back garden. I have no problem here, but if we truly do mean this in some literal fashion then living in a sense looses its meaning for me. And that too is OK. I think the distinction between animate and inanimate is ultimately a false one. -> there ya have it again. What is nice for me is that I do not believe in this "monism religion", yet it still leads to the same conclusion as mine. There will be the 10% to 20% unreasonable. But all within those limits should be proven "not reasonable". This monism is great stuff when needed.-I don't know in what sense you are using the word religion. Literally it comes from the Latin to reconnect. If you are using it in this sense then no problem.-Otherwise if you are using it as a theological worldview, I think you are way off base.-For me monism is a description of what I observe (there are different flavours of monism).

causation

by GateKeeper @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 23:54 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

a reasonable conclusion, but not only one: a living universe. 
> Unfortunately a living universe does not get us anywhere. We end up playing semantic games. If the universe is living so are the rocks in my back garden. I have no problem here, but if we truly do mean this in some literal fashion then living in a sense looses its meaning for me. And that too is OK. I think the distinction between animate and inanimate is ultimately a false one. 
> 
> > there ya have it again. What is nice for me is that I do not believe in this "monism religion", yet it still leads to the same conclusion as mine. There will be the 10% to 20% unreasonable. But all within those limits should be proven "not reasonable". This monism is great stuff when needed.
> 
> I don't know in what sense you are using the word religion. Literally it comes from the Latin to reconnect. If you are using it in this sense then no problem.
> 
> Otherwise if you are using it as a theological worldview, I think you are way off base.
> 
> For me monism is a description of what I observe (there are different flavours of monism).-I believe stating the universe is probably alive (or not) gets us one step closer to an answer. I think to ignore the data and say "I won't answer" because of some faith statement in monism isn't the way to go. That's why I call it a religion. Won't make a prediction based on a "belief" and not data. -Remember rom. I understand you can say the same about how I see it. I list what we have, and make a prediction. yes, no, or maybe. Based on proofs. I am ok with that.-
"arbitrary". Arbitrary proofs lead to arbitrary conclusions. Change the word "arbitrary" to the definition listed for that word. Then tack the word "conclusion" at the end of it. What does it mean? -I am ok with a "living cell phone". it proves a living universe.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Monday, June 09, 2014, 00:00 (3603 days ago) @ GateKeeper

What exactly is monism for you?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 09, 2014, 01:10 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

What exactly is monism for you?-I only know it through you.-things like no boundaries. no life/nonlife, everything is arbitrary. rock is life and no life. cell phone has evolved, using protiens I will add.

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 19:30 (3603 days ago) @ romansh

David: I don't accept that such mechanisms are self-developed. Their presence makes for enormous genomic complexity, beyond Darwin's own imagination, far beyond the possibility it all developed by chance with no purpose.
> 
> Rom: What are the chances of some universal intelligence doing it?
> 
> Are you stepping away from the definition of chance ... ie something we can't predict accurately?-I don't see any unguided mechanism capable of what has resulted.
> 
> Rom: Essentially you seem to be arguing that this universe has a purpose. Personally I don't see it other than the purpose we may ascribe to it.-And the purpose I see is the arrival of sentient beings, us.

causation

by dhw, Monday, June 09, 2014, 16:43 (3602 days ago) @ David Turell

ROMANSH: ...evolution is guided by the environment a living creature finds itself. So in that sense it is guided.
DAVID: Have you followed the epigenetic mechanisms in which the organism seems to mimic Lamark? And guides its own destiny?
Dhw: You said it: the organism guides its own destiny. I repeat: Hallelujah!
-DAVID: Of course those controls exist, but I ask you again, is it likely they developed through a chance evolutionary process or were they there from the start? I don't accept that such mechanisms are self-developed. Their presence makes for enormous genomic complexity, beyond Darwin's own imagination, far beyond the possibility it all developed by chance with no purpose.-I have said repeatedly that I don't believe in chance. I'm an agnostic! The origin of life and of the evolutionary mechanisms remains a mystery, and I have yet to find a solution that convinces me. As for the rest of your post, perhaps the implications of the argument to which you are responding were not clear: -Dhw: Maybe your God created the mechanisms all at the same time. Who knows? This discussion is not about the origin. You have constantly insisted on preprogramming, preplanning and divine intervention as integral to the way evolution progressed. I find this inconsistent with the higgledy-piggledy bush, and have constantly suggested instead (I'm not as insistent on theories as you are) that the mechanisms are within the organisms, which do their own adapting and innovating in accordance with a changing environment.-Once the mechanism is in place, as you have said but perhaps now wish you had not said, "the organism guides its own destiny". The complexity arises from organisms deliberately adapting or innovating in accordance with changes in the environment. The changes in the environment may come about by chance (or do you think your God planned those as well?), but the adaptations and innovations do not. In that sense, evolution does not progress by chance. Exeunt random mutations. As for purpose, it is clearly in the first instance (adaptation) to survive, and in the second (innovation) to improve the organism's ability to master the environment. But perhaps you would explain what YOU meant by "guides its own destiny".

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 09, 2014, 18:55 (3602 days ago) @ dhw


> dhw: Once the mechanism is in place, as you have said but perhaps now wish you had not said, "the organism guides its own destiny". The complexity arises from organisms deliberately adapting or innovating in accordance with changes in the environment. The changes in the environment may come about by chance (or do you think your God planned those as well?), but the adaptations and innovations do not. In that sense, evolution does not progress by chance. ... But perhaps you would explain what YOU meant by "guides its own destiny".-To stop us going round and round, first let me modify 'guides its own destiny' to add the word 'partially'. The organisms in which we have seen this certainly have a degree of adaptability, but obviously not complete control. And you are right, that does advance complexity. Does god dabble with the environment (?), I can't possibly know, but the Chicxulub crator tells us the dinosaurs were stopped in thier tracks. And that allowed evolution to progress to us. Chance or God, flip a coin.-As for epigenetic mechanisms, yes they are in place. They add a massive degree of complexity to the genome as Shapiro demonstrates, and to my way of thinking, it implies purpose to make sure that evolution develops toward human complexity.

causation

by dhw, Tuesday, June 10, 2014, 16:04 (3601 days ago) @ David Turell

DAVID: To stop us going round and round, first let me modify 'guides its own destiny' to add the word 'partially'. The organisms in which we have seen this certainly have a degree of adaptability, but obviously not complete control. And you are right, that does advance complexity. Does god dabble with the environment (?), I can't possibly know, but the Chicxulub crator tells us the dinosaurs were stopped in thier tracks. And that allowed evolution to progress to us. Chance or God, flip a coin.-Without Chicxulub we'd never have made it, but it's 50/50 Chance v. God. A strangely dithering, indecisive way for you to interpret your decisive, non-dithering God's way of fulfilling his pre-planned purpose. (See our exchanges under "Innovation and Speciation: pre-planning".)
 
DAVID: As for epigenetic mechanisms, yes they are in place. They add a massive degree of complexity to the genome as Shapiro demonstrates, and to my way of thinking, it implies purpose to make sure that evolution develops toward human complexity-So God (origin unknown) pre-programmed, preplanned or intervened in evolution, although organisms partially guide their own destiny. They are able to do this because God gave them mechanisms that allow them to adapt and innovate independently, but they are not able to do it independently because God wants to make sure they follow his pre-planned path towards humanity, although some of them don't, and then he deliberately makes them extinct, or they simply go extinct by chance. Except for those that survive. -Here's an alternative. Evolution has progressed from simple to complex with a vast variety of life forms because organisms have mechanisms (origin unknown) that allow them to adapt and innovate in response to random changes in the environment. Some do so successfully, and survive. Some do not, and perish.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Tuesday, June 10, 2014, 16:31 (3601 days ago) @ dhw

dwh-Here's an alternative. Evolution has progressed from simple to complex with a vast variety of life forms because organisms have mechanisms (origin unknown) that allow them to adapt and innovate in response to random changes in the environment. Some do so successfully, and survive. Some do not, and perish.-
me
WOW! so close.-
How, using what we know, can your stance work?-One "word" ...

causation

by David Turell @, Tuesday, June 10, 2014, 17:21 (3601 days ago) @ dhw


> dhw: Here's an alternative. Evolution has progressed from simple to complex with a vast variety of life forms because organisms have mechanisms (origin unknown) that allow them to adapt and innovate in response to random changes in the environment. Some do so successfully, and survive. Some do not, and perish.-A perfect neutral view of evolution, which leaves out any philosophic or theologic considerations of the issue of the appearance of humans. Fine for agnostics or atheists.

causation

by dhw, Wednesday, June 11, 2014, 19:01 (3600 days ago) @ David Turell

Dhw: Here's an alternative. Evolution has progressed from simple to complex with a vast variety of life forms because organisms have mechanisms (origin unknown) that allow them to adapt and innovate in response to random changes in the environment. Some do so successfully, and survive. Some do not, and perish.
-DAVID: A perfect neutral view of evolution, which leaves out any philosophic or theologic consideration of the issue of the appearance of humans, Fine for agnostics or atheists.-But as you have shown repeatedly, any attempt to impose your particular theological pattern on evolution results in a philosophic shambles of pre-planning and randomness, preprogramming and independence, strict order and almighty higgledy-piggledy. All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!-*************-In response to the same post as above:-GATEKEEPER: WOW! So close. How, using what we know, can your stance work? One "word"...
-I'm afraid I don't understand your question. I can't explain how I think evolution works in just one word. People write whole books on the subject! What we think we know (nothing is absolute) is that all forms of life have descended from earlier forms, apart from the very first, whose origin is unknown. If common descent is true (it seems logical to me), then there has to be some kind of mechanism ... origin also unknown ... that has enabled organisms to adapt and innovate in accordance with environmental change. Otherwise life would not have progressed beyond the level of bacteria. How do you think it "works"?

causation

by David Turell @, Wednesday, June 11, 2014, 19:12 (3600 days ago) @ dhw


> DAVID: A perfect neutral view of evolution, which leaves out any philosophic or theologic consideration of the issue of the appearance of humans, Fine for agnostics or atheists.
> 
> dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!-Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.
> 
> *************
> 
> In response to the same post as above:
> 
> GATEKEEPER: WOW! So close. How, using what we know, can your stance work? One "word"...
> 
> 
> dhw: I'm afraid I don't understand your question. ....-I don't either

causation

by dhw, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 18:19 (3599 days ago) @ David Turell

DAVID: A perfect neutral view of evolution, which leaves out any philosophic or theologic consideration of the issue of the appearance of humans, Fine for agnostics or atheists.

dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!-DAVID: Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.-Removing the second set of shackles does. But instead of making your God decisively infallible, as you want him to be, it allows him to learn by experimentation and experience.

causation

by David Turell @, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 19:08 (3599 days ago) @ dhw

DAVID: Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.
> 
> dhw:Removing the second set of shackles does. But instead of making your God decisively infallible, as you want him to be, it allows him to learn by experimentation and experience.-The problem is we do not know God personally. I don't presume to know if He is infallible or had to experiment. All I know is humans appeared against all odds. Pre-programmed or guided are both possible, and roughly equal. It really doesn't matter which it was. The intentionality ( teleology)is still present in the final result. Either way a God (intelligence/consciousness) is operative, which fits my belief.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 00:01 (3599 days ago) @ David Turell

DAVID: Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.
> > 
> > dhw:Removing the second set of shackles does. But instead of making your God decisively infallible, as you want him to be, it allows him to learn by experimentation and experience.
> 
> The problem is we do not know God personally. I don't presume to know if He is infallible or had to experiment. All I know is humans appeared against all odds. Pre-programmed or guided are both possible, and roughly equal. It really doesn't matter which it was. The intentionality ( teleology)is still present in the final result. Either way a God (intelligence/consciousness) is operative, which fits my belief.-I say we were not against all odds. In fact at t-minus 10^-43 seconds life was going to happen. That is fairly sound with, or without a god.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 00:40 (3599 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK: I say we were not against all odds. In fact at t-minus 10^-43 seconds life was going to happen. That is fairly sound with, or without a god.-That sounds like a form of faith to me. Can you explain your reasoning?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 12:59 (3598 days ago) @ David Turell


> > GK: I say we were not against all odds. In fact at t-minus 10^-43 seconds life was going to happen. That is fairly sound with, or without a god.
> 
> That sounds like a form of faith to me. Can you explain your reasoning?-
Yes .I do have faith I think. we all have some faith I believe. I have faith in the periodic table. -When leptons and quarks formed they were going to follow the set of rules. That soup of particles was going to do what that soup of particle do. They were going to form stars. Big ones. I mean really big ones.
 
That first generation of starts then seeded the universe with the materials that we see today. "carbon", hydrogen, and oxygen, would have been very abundant. Along with the rest of the 2-4 rows. Given the tempura gradients that were around. The Corbon-water Goldie lock zone was going to be present. -What would have been more surprising is if the periodic table didn't act like the periodic table.-The surprising "uneven mix" of anti mater/matter? I think it is supervising that they are supervised to tell you the truth. I am not supervise they are as arrogant as they are, but I am surprised they are taking tit to the level they are. I mean if we even just look at magnetic fields, I see a very low probability of "100 uniformity". Maybe it is the public, tho that is freaking out about it. And the scientist to get paid to talk about it. -As usual, we can throw probably, for me, and I am not sure of anything, all over this post.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 14:48 (3598 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> > > GK: I say we were not against all odds. In fact at t-minus 10^-43 seconds life was going to happen. That is fairly sound with, or without a god.
> > 
> > That sounds like a form of faith to me. Can you explain your reasoning?
> 
> 
> GK: Yes .I do have faith I think. we all have some faith I believe. I have faith in the periodic table. 
> 
> When leptons and quarks formed they were going to follow the set of rules. That soup of particles was going to do what that soup of particle do. They were going to form stars. Big ones. I mean really big ones.
> 
> That first generation of starts then seeded the universe with the materials that we see today. "carbon", hydrogen, and oxygen, would have been very abundant. Along with the rest of the 2-4 rows. Given the tempura gradients that were around. The Corbon-water Goldie lock zone was going to be present.-To me you are describing the process we discovered and the fact that we live in the Goldylocks zone. We have to live here or we wouldn't be here. Do you think it is all luck? 
> 
> GK: What would have been more surprising is if the periodic table didn't act like the periodic table.-It is something we discovered. we don't know why it acts that way. Fred Hoyle described the making of carbon in the intense pressure inside stars requiring very exact conditions of resonance,and thought 'somebody monkeyed with the works' to paraphrase him. Did the fine-tuning to allow life just happen?
> 
> GK: The surprising "uneven mix" of anti mater/matter? I think it is supervising that they are supervised to tell you the truth. I am not supervise they are as arrogant as they are, but I am surprised they are taking tit to the level they are.-You don't think antimatter is rare, compared to matter?-> GK: And the scientist to get paid to talk about it.-Scientists live on grants. Do you trust them? 
> 
> GK: As usual, we can throw probably, for me, and I am not sure of anything, all over this post.-But you seem sure life had to appear in the form of humans?

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 16:44 (3598 days ago) @ David Turell


> > > > GK: I say we were not against all odds. In fact at t-minus 10^-43 seconds life was going to happen. That is fairly sound with, or without a god.
> > > 
> > > That sounds like a form of faith to me. Can you explain your reasoning?
> > 
> > 
> > GK: Yes .I do have faith I think. we all have some faith I believe. I have faith in the periodic table. 
> > 
> > When leptons and quarks formed they were going to follow the set of rules. That soup of particles was going to do what that soup of particle do. They were going to form stars. Big ones. I mean really big ones.
> > 
> > That first generation of starts then seeded the universe with the materials that we see today. "carbon", hydrogen, and oxygen, would have been very abundant. Along with the rest of the 2-4 rows. Given the tempura gradients that were around. The Corbon-water Goldie lock zone was going to be present.
> 
> To me you are describing the process we discovered and the fact that we live in the Goldylocks zone. We have to live here or we wouldn't be here. Do you think it is all luck? 
> > 
> > GK: What would have been more surprising is if the periodic table didn't act like the periodic table.
> 
> It is something we discovered. we don't know why it acts that way. Fred Hoyle described the making of carbon in the intense pressure inside stars requiring very exact conditions of resonance,and thought 'somebody monkeyed with the works' to paraphrase him. Did the fine-tuning to allow life just happen?
> > 
> > GK: The surprising "uneven mix" of anti mater/matter? I think it is supervising that they are supervised to tell you the truth. I am not supervise they are as arrogant as they are, but I am surprised they are taking tit to the level they are.
> 
> You don't think antimatter is rare, compared to matter?
> 
> > GK: And the scientist to get paid to talk about it.
> 
> Scientists live on grants. Do you trust them? 
> > 
> > GK: As usual, we can throw probably, for me, and I am not sure of anything, all over this post.
> 
> But you seem sure life had to appear in the form of humans?
>>
your right, nobody knows how it works so it is useless for me to base a conclusion on what we don't know. If you noticed I only used what is basically known.-No, I did not say that about anti matter. What I said is that based on how much we don't know it surprises me that scientist think that a math formula that predicts absolute uniformity is the way it should be. It is like assuming type1 supernova explosions start at the exact center of the start. I mean if you look at the temperature and time scales. The probability of absolute uniformity is kind of funny to me. I would assume it wasn't uniform based on what we see around us. thats 100% uniformity. not 99.999999%
 
Scientist? Trust and verify. Trust and verify. Some of the meanest people I know were considered very smart. Boy were they supervised when I showed I up. -no, I am not sure. I am as sure as you and dwh. I lay out what we have. Tats where I start.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 17:46 (3598 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK: No, I did not say that about anti matter. What I said is that based on how much we don't know it surprises me that scientist think that a math formula that predicts absolute uniformity is the way it should be.-Since it is a basic tenet of the standard model, it seems all knowledgeable scientists accept the lack of antimatter as something that should be explained and it isn't.- 
> GK:Scientist? Trust and verify. Trust and verify. Some of the meanest people I know were considered very smart. Boy were they supervised when I showed I up. 
> 
> no, I am not sure. I am as sure as you and dwh. I lay out what we have. Tats where I start.-I am confused by the way you use the word 'supervised'. And you have explained that you never wonder why things are the way they are.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 13, 2014, 18:13 (3598 days ago) @ David Turell


> > GK: No, I did not say that about anti matter. What I said is that based on how much we don't know it surprises me that scientist think that a math formula that predicts absolute uniformity is the way it should be.
> 
> Since it is a basic tenet of the standard model, it seems all knowledgeable scientists accept the lack of antimatter as something that should be explained and it isn't.
> 
> 
> > GK:Scientist? Trust and verify. Trust and verify. Some of the meanest people I know were considered very smart. Boy were they supervised when I showed I up. 
> > 
> > no, I am not sure. I am as sure as you and dwh. I lay out what we have. Tats where I start.
> 
> I am confused by the way you use the word 'supervised'. And you have explained that you never wonder why things are the way they are.-
I said that 2 post ago. That finding what happened is fine. saying it shouldn't have happened is another matter. I also said that thinking it shouldn't have happened is silly. They are two different line of thoughts.-"why it happened". I laid out what I know and then drew a conclusion off of that. There is a limited number of "if". I am not giving what i think. You guys are so close. If you guys close this gap by the same method I did then I feel better.-"supervised". My pet peeve is intellectual bullying. People taking advantage of what others don't know. When I show up I begin by using what the person knows to help them see. It's a bully free zone. -I am sorry for being confusing. I really don't even know why I write so bad. I am so bad, I don't know the rules I am breaking ... :)

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 01:59 (3598 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> 
> GK: That finding what happened is fine. saying it shouldn't have happened is another matter. I also said that thinking it shouldn't have happened is silly. They are two different line of thoughts.-Fair enough.
>> 
> GK: "supervised". My pet peeve is intellectual bullying. People taking advantage of what others don't know. When I show up I begin by using what the person knows to help them see. It's a bully free zone. -So you say you are acting like a supervisor and guiding? 
> 
> GK: I am sorry for being confusing. I really don't even know why I write so bad. I am so bad, I don't know the rules I am breaking ... :)-When I don't follow, I'll ask as I have done before.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 12:59 (3597 days ago) @ David Turell

-> 
> So you say you are acting like a supervisor and guiding? 
> > -Not on your site I am not. you and dw know a lot more than me. I dont remember the context of the first post I put it in. But over all yes. When I talk to people about things I ask question based on what they know. Dangle the carrot so to speak.

causation

by dhw, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 11:54 (3597 days ago) @ David Turell

dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!-DAVID: Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.-Dhw: Removing the second set of shackles does. But instead of making your God decisively infallible, as you want him to be, it allows him to learn by experimentation and experience.-DAVID: The problem is we do not know God personally. I don't presume to know if he is infallible or had to experiment.-This, dear David, is music to my ears. Less than a fortnight ago you were dismissing the idea of experimentation as defining "an indecisive God so it is a nonstarter", while God not thinking of humans till later on in evolution "is less indecisive, but no less a wrong approach, since it makes God dither." Well, you are young (at heart) and impulsive, but when pressed are open-minded and courageous enough to switch from 100% to 50%. You would make a good agnostic.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 13:01 (3597 days ago) @ dhw

dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!
> 
> DAVID: Thanks for the advice but it doesn't answer the issue of humans appearing against all odds.
> 
> Dhw: Removing the second set of shackles does. But instead of making your God decisively infallible, as you want him to be, it allows him to learn by experimentation and experience.
> 
> DAVID: The problem is we do not know God personally. I don't presume to know if he is infallible or had to experiment.
> 
> This, dear David, is music to my ears. Less than a fortnight ago you were dismissing the idea of experimentation as defining "an indecisive God so it is a nonstarter", while God not thinking of humans till later on in evolution "is less indecisive, but no less a wrong approach, since it makes God dither." Well, you are young (at heart) and impulsive, but when pressed are open-minded and courageous enough to switch from 100% to 50%. You would make a good agnostic.-group hug

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 15:44 (3597 days ago) @ GateKeeper

dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!
> > 
> dhw: Well, you are young (at heart) and impulsive, but when pressed are open-minded and courageous enough to switch from 100% to 50%. You would make a good agnostic.
> 
> GK: group hug-I have phsycially hugged dhw, but no mental hugging here!

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 17:42 (3597 days ago) @ David Turell

dhw:...All of these contradictions disappear if you remove the philosophical shackles of evolutionary anthropocentrism, or alternatively the decisive know-it-all-from-the-beginning infallibility of your God. And neither of these solutions requires you to be an agnostic or an atheist!
> > > 
> > dhw: Well, you are young (at heart) and impulsive, but when pressed are open-minded and courageous enough to switch from 100% to 50%. You would make a good agnostic.
> > 
> > GK: group hug
> 
> I have phsycially hugged dhw, but no mental hugging here!-sorry about that.-Mental hugging is legal in many states now ... srry.-lol

causation; top down math research

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 04, 2017, 20:15 (2511 days ago) @ GateKeeper

New studies on top down causation:

https://www.quantamagazine.org/a-theory-of-reality-as-more-than-the-sum-of-its-parts-20...

"Hoel’s theory, called “causal emergence,” roundly rejects this reductionist assumption.

“Causal emergence is a way of claiming that your agent description is really real,” said Hoel, a postdoctoral researcher at Columbia University who first proposed the idea with Larissa Albantakis and Giulio Tononi of the University of Wisconsin, Madison. “If you just say something like, ‘Oh, my atoms made me do it’ — well, that might not be true. And it might be provably not true.”

"Using the mathematical language of information theory, Hoel and his collaborators claim to show that new causes — things that produce effects — can emerge at macroscopic scales. They say coarse-grained macroscopic states of a physical system (such as the psychological state of a brain) can have more causal power over the system’s future than a more detailed, fine-grained description of the system possibly could.

"In a May paper in the journal Entropy, Hoel placed causal emergence on a firmer theoretical footing by showing that macro scales gain causal power in exactly the same way, mathematically, that error-correcting codes increase the amount of information that can be sent over information channels. Just as codes reduce noise (and thus uncertainty) in transmitted data — Claude Shannon’s 1948 insight that formed the bedrock of information theory — Hoel claims that macro states also reduce noise and uncertainty in a system’s causal structure, strengthening causal relationships and making the system’s behavior more deterministic.

***

"Their ultimate usefulness in explaining the world and its mysteries — including consciousness, other kinds of emergence, and the relationships between the micro and macro levels of reality — will come down to whether Hoel has nailed the notoriously tricky notion of causation: Namely, what’s a cause? “If you brought 20 practicing scientists into a room and asked what causation was, they would all disagree,” DeDeo said. “We get mixed up about it.”

***

"philosophers have argued that causal power existing at two scales at once would be twice what the world needs; to avoid double-counting, the “exclusion argument” says all causal power must originate at the micro level. But it’s almost always easier to discuss causes and effects in terms of macroscopic entities.

***

"Tononi conceives of consciousness as information: bits that are encoded not in the states of individual neurons, but in the complex networking of neurons, which link together in the brain into larger and larger ensembles. Tononi argues that this special “integrated information” corresponds to the unified, integrated state that we experience as subjective awareness.

***

"With Albantakis and Tononi, Hoel formalized a measure of causal power called “effective information,” which indicates how effectively a particular state influences the future state of a system. (Effective information can be used to help calculate integrated information, but it is simpler and more general and, as a measure of causal power, does not rely on Tononi’s other ideas about consciousness.)

***

"For any given system, effective information peaks at the scale with the largest and most reliable causal structure. In addition to conscious agents, Hoel says this might pick out the natural scales of rocks, tsunamis, planets and all other objects that we normally notice in the world. “And the reason why we’re tuned into them evolutionarily [might be] because they are reliable and effective, but that also means they are causally emergent,” Hoel said. [Comment: I feel this means it takes a whole brain to have consciousness]

***

"Hoel and his collaborators aim to show that higher-level causes — as well as agents and other macroscopic things — ontologically exist. The distinction relates to one that the philosopher David Chalmers makes about consciousness: There’s the “easy problem” of how neural circuitry gives rise to complex behaviors, and the “hard problem,” which asks, essentially, what distinguishes conscious beings from lifeless automatons.

***

"Causation “is really the measure or quantity that is necessary to identify where in this whole state of the universe do I have groups of elements that make up entities? … Causation is what you need to give structure to the universe.” Treating causes as real is a necessary tool for making sense of the world."

Comment: Can one prove causation is top down? Just consciousness or God's consciousness? Huge article. Should read all.

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 14, 2014, 15:01 (3597 days ago) @ dhw


> DAVID: The problem is we do not know God personally. I don't presume to know if he is infallible or had to experiment.
> 
> dhw: This, dear David, is music to my ears. Less than a fortnight ago you were dismissing the idea of experimentation as defining "an indecisive God so it is a nonstarter", while God not thinking of humans till later on in evolution "is less indecisive, but no less a wrong approach, since it makes God dither." Well, you are young (at heart) and impulsive, but when pressed are open-minded and courageous enough to switch from 100% to 50%. You would make a good agnostic.-My impulsiveness is a consequence of my own problem, which you poke at constantly. I don't know God or his personality. I can only make guesses to answer our queries. My answer above is clear enough. Like mud.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 13:44 (3599 days ago) @ dhw

ponse to the same post as above:
> 
> GATEKEEPER: WOW! So close. How, using what we know, can your stance work? One "word"...
> 
> -I don't know how it works.-use what you know, don't describe it with what you don't know. I mean look at the paper we read on baryon number. Did you read the axioms? We do not have to accept them. But they worked for that paper. -Start at what we do know. Look around you and see what is working. Use that. I can tell that you know enough already. The stuff you do not know isn't holding you back.

causation

by David Turell @, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 16:50 (3599 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK: I don't know how it works.-I presume you mean evolution
 
> 
> gk: Start at what we do know. Look around you and see what is working. Use that. I can tell that you know enough already. The stuff you do not know isn't holding you back.-We know a great deal about how the genome works. But it still does not offer any explanation why one group of long-tailed monkeys, 22 million years ago eventualy split off into a big- brained form about 8 million years ago and left the chimps far behind.-Sciece and philosophy must work hand in hand to offer any undestanding. Nuts and bolts alone offer litle.

causation

by dhw, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 18:23 (3599 days ago) @ GateKeeper

Dhw: What we think we know (nothing is absolute) is that all forms of life have descended from earlier forms, apart from the very first, whose origin is unknown. If common descent is true (it seems logical to me), then there has to be some kind of mechanism ... origin also unknown ... that has enabled organisms to adapt and innovate in accordance with environmental change. Otherwise life would not have progressed beyond the level of bacteria. How do you think it "works"? -GATEKEEPER: I don't know how it works.
use what you know, don't describe it with what you don't know. I mean look at the paper we read on baryon number. Did you read the axioms? We do not have to accept them. But they worked for that paper. 
Start at what we do know. Look around you and see what is working. Use that. I can tell that you know enough already. The stuff you do not know isn't holding you back.-Once again, I'm sorry, but I thought I had done just that ... other than the caveat about our "knowledge" not being absolute. Everything I think I know about evolution points to there being a mechanism that enables organisms to adapt and innovate in accordance with environmental change, and I've explained why. The fact that I do not know the origin of that mechanism has not held me back from offering my hypothesis, which in my view explains the higgledy-piggledy bush far more coherently than David's divine preplanning and Darwin's random mutations. Perhaps you could just tell me what it is you object to.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Thursday, June 12, 2014, 23:58 (3599 days ago) @ dhw

Dhw: What we think we know (nothing is absolute) is that all forms of life have descended from earlier forms, apart from the very first, whose origin is unknown. If common descent is true (it seems logical to me), then there has to be some kind of mechanism ... origin also unknown ... that has enabled organisms to adapt and innovate in accordance with environmental change. Otherwise life would not have progressed beyond the level of bacteria. How do you think it "works"? 
> 
> GATEKEEPER: I don't know how it works.
> use what you know, don't describe it with what you don't know. I mean look at the paper we read on baryon number. Did you read the axioms? We do not have to accept them. But they worked for that paper. 
> Start at what we do know. Look around you and see what is working. Use that. I can tell that you know enough already. The stuff you do not know isn't holding you back.
> 
> Once again, I'm sorry, but I thought I had done just that ... other than the caveat about our "knowledge" not being absolute. Everything I think I know about evolution points to there being a mechanism that enables organisms to adapt and innovate in accordance with environmental change, and I've explained why. The fact that I do not know the origin of that mechanism has not held me back from offering my hypothesis, which in my view explains the higgledy-piggledy bush far more coherently than David's divine preplanning and Darwin's random mutations. Perhaps you could just tell me what it is you object to.-I don't object to anything you have done. I think you are doing a great job actually. What notion can tie your's and david's notions together so that most people learning about it can at least say it is reasonable. Even if they don't want to follow it.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 18:07 (3604 days ago) @ dhw
edited by unknown, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 18:24

Your questions have nothing to do with pre-programming, which would mean that the cell communities had no freedom of their own but simply did as they had been instructed to do - the exact opposite of an organism that "guides its own destiny". How did the mechanisms come into being? Maybe your God created them. All of the comments referred to the course of evolution, not to the origin of the mechanisms that enable evolution to take place.-Programmed and pre-programmed ... what is the difference?-Also we have to be careful when using anthropomorphizations like instructed. While I think they are useful in communication, they can be very misleading.-In David's (abbreviated list) of things that are self guided, definitely include the environment ... and I certainly would not use the phrase self guided to describe epigenetics. -The only exception I might consider is say a radioactive atom (say potassium) decays within a cell and changes the epigenetic structure. Even then this could be viewed as the potassium coming from the environment.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 19:53 (3604 days ago) @ romansh

Your questions have nothing to do with pre-programming, which would mean that the cell communities had no freedom of their own but simply did as they had been instructed to do - the exact opposite of an organism that "guides its own destiny". How did the mechanisms come into being? Maybe your God created them. All of the comments referred to the course of evolution, not to the origin of the mechanisms that enable evolution to take place.
> 
> Programmed and pre-programmed ... what is the difference?
> 
> Also we have to be careful when using anthropomorphizations like instructed. While I think they are useful in communication, they can be very misleading.
> 
> In David's (abbreviated list) of things that are self guided, definitely include the environment ... and I certainly would not use the phrase self guided to describe epigenetics. 
> 
> The only exception I might consider is say a radioactive atom (say potassium) decays within a cell and changes the epigenetic structure. Even then this could be viewed as the potassium coming from the environment.-
I think a baby bird being born to "act as that bird should" is pre-programmed. But if you are talking about "programmed" in a larger time frame, using monism, we have "god" again. That is reasonable. -Can protien concentration be "back feed" and then coded into DNA. I see no logical reason to say no. This feedback loop would offer the life form the chance to have a "good mutation"

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 22:00 (3604 days ago) @ GateKeeper

I think a baby bird being born to "act as that bird should" is pre-programmed. But if you are talking about "programmed" in a larger time frame, using monism, we have "god" again. That is reasonable. -I am not talking about programmed. I was asking what the difference between pre-programmed and programmed. -If that baby bird behaves unexpectedly ... is it programmed, pre-programmed or something else. Is a pendulum programmed?-> Can protien concentration be "back feed" and then coded into DNA. I see no logical reason to say no. This feedback loop would offer the life form the chance to have a "good mutation"-There are inetrative processes all around us. Look at mountains being ground down, being subducted and raised as mountains.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 23:56 (3604 days ago) @ romansh

dern it, to rom.-agreed, on all accounts ... feedback.-"programmed" is not static. EQ points. If the baby bird dies, its mutated line code didn't work. It doesn't mean it wasn't programmed.

causation

by David Turell @, Sunday, June 08, 2014, 02:50 (3603 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK: "programmed" is not static. EQ points. If the baby bird dies, its mutated line code didn't work. It doesn't mean it wasn't programmed.-To make my viewpoint clear I believe evolution is pre-preprogrammed to produce humans. Thinking humans who can describe in math the universe they were born into.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 09, 2014, 13:39 (3602 days ago) @ David Turell


> > GK: "programmed" is not static. EQ points. If the baby bird dies, its mutated line code didn't work. It doesn't mean it wasn't programmed.
> 
> To make my viewpoint clear I believe evolution is pre-preprogrammed to produce humans. Thinking humans who can describe in math the universe they were born into.-yep, very close to what I think. I would flip a few notions tho.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 14:32 (3605 days ago) @ David Turell

Not closely David->>> Wiki: Epigenetic changes have been observed to occur in response to environmental exposure—for example, mice given some dietary supplements have epigenetic changes affecting expression of the agouti gene, which affects their fur color, weight, and propensity to develop cancer.

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 19:44 (3605 days ago) @ romansh

Romansh: Not closely David
> 
> >>> Wiki: Epigenetic changes have been observed to occur in response to environmental exposure—for example, mice given some dietary supplements have epigenetic changes affecting expression of the agouti gene, which affects their fur color, weight, and propensity to develop cancer.-There is a lot more to it than your one reference. It is worth paying some attention to this area of research which is demostrating a great deal of self-direction in evolution. Lamark was not entirely wrong.

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 22:42 (3605 days ago) @ David Turell

There is a lot more to it than your one reference. It is worth paying some attention to this area of research which is demostrating a great deal of self-direction in evolution. Lamark was not entirely wrong.-All of the studies I have come across include some environmental factor causing methylation (or demethylation) resulting in traits that carryover to the offspring.

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 00:55 (3605 days ago) @ romansh


> ROM: All of the studies I have come across include some environmental factor causing methylation (or demethylation) resulting in traits that carryover to the offspring.-As long as by environmental you include lack of food, changing types of food (Darwin's finches), size change as in Resnick's guppies, and recently discovered fear-causing events, as examples, that is fine. Have you read Shapiro's book "Evolution; A view from the 21st Century", 2011?

causation

by romansh ⌂ @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 01:42 (3605 days ago) @ David Turell


> > ROM: All of the studies I have come across include some environmental factor causing methylation (or demethylation) resulting in traits that carryover to the offspring.
> 
> As long as by environmental you include lack of food, changing types of food (Darwin's finches), size change as in Resnick's guppies, and recently discovered fear-causing events, as examples, that is fine. Have you read Shapiro's book "Evolution; A view from the 21st Century", 2011?-Of course I do. Why on earth would anyone exclude these things from the environment?-No I have not read that particular book.-Currently reading The Fallacy of Fine Tuning (Vic Stenger)

causation

by David Turell @, Saturday, June 07, 2014, 02:05 (3605 days ago) @ romansh


> Rom: Currently reading The Fallacy of Fine Tuning (Vic Stenger)-Ah yes, the opposing viewpoint

causation

by GateKeeper @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 12:55 (3605 days ago) @ romansh

that is right. I agree.
define, or understand the word "random". Or, just look in a cell. all the randomness. So much so that it lives. that's a clue clue for me guys.
The code is there to solve the problem. The solution is guided by the problem. "Feedback" shows up again. serendipity, my favorite. Like using the second lens in a stereo scope as the light source. This would be for filming. Couple that with the notion if we follow the circuits of a computer we wind up back at the power source. If it is wireless, we wind up where? and if we don't understand wireless? then what? nowhere?

causation

by David Turell @, Friday, June 06, 2014, 19:35 (3605 days ago) @ GateKeeper

GK: Or, just look in a cell. all the randomness. So much so that it lives. that's a clue clue for me guys.-A cell is precisely the opposite of random. It is a finely-tuned factory.-> GK: The code is there to solve the problem. The solution is guided by the problem. "Feedback" shows up again. serendipity, my favorite. -I don't follow your reasoning. Serendipity is a lucky discovery. The cell is very precise and has epigenetic mechanisms to solve problems. Not luck. Or do I misinterpret you.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 16:23 (3609 days ago) @ romansh

David:-maybe I am confused with the word "required outcome". Required? whats that mean?

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 17:23 (3609 days ago) @ GateKeeper

GK: David:
> 
> maybe I am confused with the word "required outcome". Required? whats that mean?-My view of chance outside of statistics is that an outcome or a result is not expected or predicted in advance. What you see it what you get, and therefore the cause is unexpected. In this was 'Cause' is a chance event with an unexpected outcome (effect), not one that is required. When I switch on the light, light is required, or the switch or the circuit is bad.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 17:53 (3609 days ago) @ David Turell

gotcha ... thank you.-"required" on my end assigns a "weighted meaning or value" to it. But that's just a "wording" issue.

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 00:09 (3610 days ago) @ GateKeeper


> GK: but, to be honest, "chance" is not a cause. That is like saying the coin landed on heads because of "chance". 
> 
> "if you mean ..."? Wait, did you just mess with a definition again?-Yes chance is, if you think of it as contingent series of chance events.

causation

by GateKeeper @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 00:42 (3610 days ago) @ David Turell

"by chance" is an unpredictable outcome to me. Within a set of conditions that is.-I quote rom.-"... by chance as something I can't predict accurately ..." This is different than a cause to me. When I use "chance" as a cause I usually wrap it around the limiting set of answers and we really can't predict the outcome.-"Why did it land on heads?" ... The reason is chance? I don't like it. I can't make a prediction other than using stat. And that only really limits the possible solutions to me. Or it implies to many initial conditions for me to know the one cause it landed heads that time. "I don't know why that time it landed on heads" keeps coming up in my head. -I can use chance to predict a set of outcomes. But that seems different to me.

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 01:36 (3610 days ago) @ GateKeeper

GK: "by chance" is an unpredictable outcome to me. Within a set of conditions that is.
> 
> I can use chance to predict a set of outcomes. But that seems different to me.-In Darwin theory mutations happen by 'chance'. The events in DNA are not predetermined according to this theory. They are accidents, which are chance events. There is no specification. This is the sort of 'chance' meaning I'm using, not the odds of flipping a coin. This is not measuring chance by statistical methods, but discussing events appearing by chance contingencies. Darwin's original thesis was that evolution proceeded by chance mutation and then natural selection. That is entirely passive and has no directionality. There was some change in the theory when Neo-Darwinsm added Mandellian genetics. Now much has been discoverd about epigenetics and chance mutation has assumed much less importance. This is the way I am using the word 'chance'.

causation

by David Turell @, Monday, June 02, 2014, 00:06 (3610 days ago) @ romansh


> Rom: Chance/randomness is a complicated subject.
> 
> If you simply mean by chance as something I can't predict accurately then it seems perfectly reasonable to accept chance as a cause.-Agreed. Do you think humans are here because of chance contingency, a la' Gould?

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