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<title>AgnosticWeb.com - I like the template of your blog! It looks really awesome.</title>
<link>https://agnosticweb.com/</link>
<description>An Agnostic&#039;s Brief Guide to the Universe</description>
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<title>I like the template of your blog! It looks really awesome. (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cool website ! Many thanks for maintaining it. Keep posting that way.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=8199</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=8199</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 25 Nov 2011 09:24:21 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>Myles Jensrud</dc:creator>
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<title>Many thanks for your review! I really enjoyed seen this. (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many thanks for having written this. I quite agree with your thoughts.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=8073</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=8073</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 19 Nov 2011 01:30:20 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>Lissa Siddons</dc:creator>
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<title>Evolution of Diversity (was The limitations of science) (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My thanks to George, who has referred us to an article from <em>Science Daily</em>, entitled &amp;apos;Segmentation is the Secret Behind the Extraordinary Diversification of Animals&amp;apos;.-The theory is that arthropods, vertebrates (including us) and annelid worms may have inherited their segmentation from &amp;quot;<em>a very distant ancestor that lived 600 million years ago</em>&amp;quot;. Segmentation makes it &amp;quot;<em>easier for an animal to specialize a segment into a specific tool in response to a need, than to create a whole new organ from scratch.&amp;quot; </em>-I don&amp;apos;t know why the heading is so definite (Segmentation <strong>is</strong> the Secret...), since the common ancestor is &amp;quot;<em>what the researchers are now seeking to confirm</em>&amp;quot;, but whether they confirm it or not, I don&amp;apos;t have a problem with it. Nor do I have a problem with the theory that all life is descended from one or a few forms, and that we and other creatures share a common ancestor. The only problem I have with George&amp;apos;s post is his misrepresentation of my views when he writes:-&amp;quot;<em>dhw...sees no way chance can create the diversity of life...</em>&amp;quot;-So let me repeat for the umpteenth time: I am unable to believe that chance created the hugely complex mechanism whereby life, reproduction, innovation and adaptability came into being. Once the mechanism existed, of course chance helped to create diversification, through chance mutations and adaptation to the chance effects of environmental changes, with the aid of the non-random process of natural selection. The problem we have been discussing in relation to evolution is that of gradualism, and I can&amp;apos;t see that the segmentation theory has any bearing on that. Let me also prevent further distortions by repeating that I&amp;apos;m equally unable to believe in an intelligent being which has existed for ever and designed this hugely complex mechanism. I therefore remain an agnostic who firmly believes in evolution ... including its various elements of chance ... though not in the gradualism that Darwin considered so fundamental to his theory.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3950</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3950</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 09:56:52 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Evolution of Diversity (was The limitations of science) (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>dhw ... sees no way chance can create the diversity of life ...&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Try this:&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;  &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/07/100726222316.htm&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;">http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/07/100726222316.htm&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;</a> &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Segmentation is the secret behind the extraordinary diversification of animals.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;quot;The researchers found that the genes controlling segment formation during embryo development are almost the same in drosophila (an arthropod) and in annelid marine worms, on which they concentrated their studies. These similarities led them to conclude that the genes had been inherited from a common ancestor, which was itself segmented. It also appears that vertebrates inherited this characteristic from an ancestor they share with the arthopods and the annelids. This is what the researchers are now seeking to confirm.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; This work supports the idea that segmentation only appeared once in the history of evolution and that it led to the broad diversity of animal groups possessing it.&amp;quot;-Segmentation appears among the fossils of the Cambrian Explosion. Those fossils have no precursors in the fossil record, however, and so far is a giant jump, not a gradual change in evolution. The segmentation pattern is very useful to create diversity, but the Cambrian fossils were very diverse to begin with, with segmentation appearing in several of the original organisms of the original 50 species of which 37 remain. I guess the authors should review their thoughts to some degree. It is a chicken and egg problem. Was there segmentation before the Cambrian? No. So we see several segmentations appearing separately in a 5-10 million year period. Did chance create all this in a short period, or could there be another reason? I wonder.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3949</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3949</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 01:45:41 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>Evolution of Diversity (was The limitations of science) (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw ... sees no way chance can create the diversity of life ...-Try this:&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/07/100726222316.htm-Segmentation is the secret behind the extraordinary diversification of animals.-&amp;quot;The researchers found that the genes controlling segment formation during embryo development are almost the same in drosophila (an arthropod) and in annelid marine worms, on which they concentrated their studies. These similarities led them to conclude that the genes had been inherited from a common ancestor, which was itself segmented. It also appears that vertebrates inherited this characteristic from an ancestor they share with the arthopods and the annelids. This is what the researchers are now seeking to confirm.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;This work supports the idea that segmentation only appeared once in the history of evolution and that it led to the broad diversity of animal groups possessing it.&amp;quot;</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3948</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3948</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jul 2010 20:57:04 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David referred us to two Pim van Lommel articles on the subject of NDEs.-GEORGE:  <em>It&amp;apos;s all just anecdote and fanciful speculation based on wish fulfilment. Nothing definite there at all.</em>-In his response to my post on homeopathy, in which I pronounced myself unqualified to make a judgement, George wrote: &amp;quot;<em>It seems dhw is unable to trust anyone, certainly not anyone calling themselves a scientist, and has to carry out his own experiments.</em>&amp;quot; On subjects related to religion, I confess to a degree of scepticism when scientists draw subjective conclusions from their scientific findings, and I&amp;apos;m not about to cast my vote in favour of life after death. However, my scepticism is nothing compared to George&amp;apos;s. I would not dream of dismissing the research carried out by scientists such as van Lommel, Michael Sabom and David Turell as &amp;quot;<em>just anecdote and fanciful speculation</em>&amp;quot;, bearing in mind that science has so far failed utterly to explain the phenomenon of consciousness. A religious agenda like Sabom&amp;apos;s does not invalidate the research any more than Dawkins&amp;apos; anti-religious agenda invalidates his. In response to George&amp;apos;s comment, I would say: &amp;quot;It seems George is unable to trust anyone, including anyone calling themselves a scientist, who has had personal experiences or has conducted systematic research which might possibly cast doubt on George&amp;apos;s own conclusions.&amp;quot; However, I&amp;apos;m talking only about trusting in the reality of the experiences and the research. The conclusions of the believers are no more and no less subjective than those of George the unbeliever. -In my view, Pim van Lommel has raised some unanswerable questions about the nature of consciousness, but in the passages where he does speculate on the possible implications, I found myself constantly confronted by one particular anomaly. If the brain acts as both receiver and transmitter, but consciousness itself is engendered by something independent of the brain cells, this has to be a feature common to all of us. In other words, no matter whose brain is dead, consciousness ought to continue. However, out of 344 cases, in only 62 was there any kind of conscious experience. Those 62 had virtually nothing that might be called common ground, and van Lommel himself seems at a loss to explain why the remaining 282 had no recollection. He then concentrates, understandably, on the 62, of whom only 23 had a &amp;quot;deep&amp;quot; experience. In his conclusion to the first article, van Lommel suggests that we should &amp;quot;<em>consider the possibility that death, like birth, may well be a mere passing from one state of consciousness to another.</em>&amp;quot; I&amp;apos;m certainly prepared to consider that possibility, just as I&amp;apos;m prepared to consider the possibility that consciousness ends with death, and that consciousness is or is not the product of the physical brain, but in weighing up the pros and cons, I would very much like to have some idea why an independently functioning and surviving consciousness should fail to manifest itself in 82% of the cases studied.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3334</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3334</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 23:31:19 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>It&amp;apos;s all just anecdote and fanciful speculation based on wish fulfilment.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Nothing definite there at all.-The Lancet article was peer reviewed as were the American and British articles. and the Lancet article prospectively put NDE&amp;apos;s into a classification table and then followed the survivors with the result that it was statistically significant that more complex NDE&amp;apos;s were associated with quicker mortality as time passed. That is just one finding in the article.-Your interpretation of this material as &amp;apos;wish fulfilment&amp;apos; represents your own wishes. These are not anecdotal medical stories, but observed patients.I&amp;apos;ve had the same reaction to this phenomenon as van Lommel and Michael Sabom, &amp;quot;Light &amp; Death&amp;quot;. We are all cardiologists dealing in sudden death. Since biologic evidence keeps changing, please follow this material.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3325</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3325</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 01 Mar 2010 17:31:49 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&amp;apos;s all just anecdote and fanciful speculation based on wish fulfilment.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Nothing definite there at all.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3317</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3317</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 28 Feb 2010 21:01:57 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw: &amp;quot;Maybe the research project into NDEs will come up with something definitive. I have my doubts on both scores, but I&amp;apos;m not going to prejudge. I remain open to whatever form of evidence comes my way, and then I will apply my subjective judgement to its credibility.&amp;quot; -&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Look at van Lommel&amp;apos;s website for an interesting take on NDE. He&amp;apos;s the MD with the Lancet report we have all discussed.-http://www.towardthelight.org/neardeathstudies/pimvanlommelarticles.html</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3310</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3310</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 23:44:38 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>MATT: <em>The article was about the comparison of western science to native methods of gaining information. [...] Even if the reasoning might be a bit faulty, traditional cultures have apparently survived well by simply testing and applying immediately.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Thanks for this interesting post. I&amp;apos;m not sure one can say that in traditional cultures the useful information &amp;quot;<em>comes down</em>&amp;quot; any faster than science. Tradition needs a long time to establish itself, and useful information is usually the result of long years of experience. I read an article recently about the disastrous results of applying scientific western methods to cattle farming somewhere in East Africa. Stupidly I chucked it out, and I can&amp;apos;t recall the details, but it was all connected with traditional nomadism and how the land (and hence cattle farming) has now been ruined by settlement and fixed pastures. One shouldn&amp;apos;t romanticize indigenous cultures, but as you say, they survived and flourished for centuries before the European came on the scene, and the application of western norms and methods has destroyed many traditions and values which are irreplaceable. Having said that, I must own up to the fact that without western medicine, I would not have left West Africa alive!-Well the article used some kind of example that was good, but I&amp;apos;d have to go dig it up.  -In regards to the traditional issue, it&amp;apos;s been cropping up that some native methods of doing things were actually the correct ones in the first place.  In South America, tribes would burn down a small section of forest, and then grow MANY kinds of crops in the area.  By growing a variety, the tribes manage to have a better level of pest control (by avoiding monoculture) and they continuously rotate through areas to burn.  Nowadays, big farms burn huge sections of rainforest, and agriculturally deplete the soil within two years.  -I agree with you on western medicine, btw.  And for the record the thought of returning to even a modern farm chills my spine with the thought of work, heh.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3304</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3304</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 00:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT: <em>The article was about the comparison of western science to native methods of gaining information. [...] Even if the reasoning might be a bit faulty, traditional cultures have apparently survived well by simply testing and applying immediately.</em>-Thanks for this interesting post. I&amp;apos;m not sure one can say that in traditional cultures the useful information &amp;quot;<em>comes down</em>&amp;quot; any faster than science. Tradition needs a long time to establish itself, and useful information is usually the result of long years of experience. I read an article recently about the disastrous results of applying scientific western methods to cattle farming somewhere in East Africa. Stupidly I chucked it out, and I can&amp;apos;t recall the details, but it was all connected with traditional nomadism and how the land (and hence cattle farming) has now been ruined by settlement and fixed pastures. One shouldn&amp;apos;t romanticize indigenous cultures, but as you say, they survived and flourished for centuries before the European came on the scene, and the application of western norms and methods has destroyed many traditions and values which are irreplaceable. Having said that, I must own up to the fact that without western medicine, I would not have left West Africa alive!</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3301</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3301</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 23:15:14 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw,-My wife being a teacher (in training) also gets this journal for free, I forget the name off the top of my head, but it&amp;apos;s about preserving indigenous human cultures.  An article popped into my head as I reread your response here.  -The article was about the comparison of western science to native methods of gaining information.  The writer was criticising science stating that this slow method of gaining knowledge simply isn&amp;apos;t supported by the speed that is typically required of native cultures to respond and adapt to changes in their environment.  Clearly, all humans engage in inductive reasoning about their environment, but the writer claimed that the information gained by native methods was instantly transferable and ready to be applied, whereas in the western method we&amp;apos;ve grown accustomed to waiting for long periods of time before useful information comes down.  This is certainly a valid bit of reasoning--it can take a decade before a result or a finding finds application in a real-world solution for something, whereas even if the reasoning might be a bit faulty, traditional cultures have apparently survived well by simply testing and applying immediately.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3297</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3297</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 24 Feb 2010 15:41:53 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; On 7 February at 14.59, under &amp;quot;Identity&amp;quot;, I quoted an article in <em>The Guardian </em>about a Belgian who had been in a coma for seven years, &gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I haven&amp;apos;t seen any follow-up to this article, but in yesterday&amp;apos;s <em>Guardian</em> was another report on a different case which caused a sensation last November.  But now one of the doctors treating him has recanted. Herewith the relevant paragraph:&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; this article, along with all the recent revelations of misinformation, errors and cover-ups, serves as a timely reminder that open-mindedness needs to be balanced by an appropriate degree of scepticism.-Just a reminder that there is a situation where there is a &amp;apos;real&amp;apos; person inside, but they simply cannot communicate except by blinking their eyes. It is called &amp;apos;locked-in state&amp;apos;. So there are a variety of degrees. Assuming that a scan is telling the observer what the person &amp;apos;might&amp;apos; be thinking is a huge leap of faith. Memories cover a large network in the brain, and so do religious experiences. Based on my reading I view scans as a very rough tool.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3256</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3256</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 17:38:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On 7 February at 14.59, under &amp;quot;Identity&amp;quot;, I quoted an article in <em>The Guardian </em>about a Belgian who had been in a coma for seven years, but with whom doctors had been able to make contact by monitoring his brain activity. They got him to answer questions by either imagining wandering through his home, or playing tennis. This raised all sorts of questions about the nature of identity.-I haven&amp;apos;t seen any follow-up to this article, but in yesterday&amp;apos;s <em>Guardian</em> was another report on a different case which caused a sensation last November. This concerned a car crash victim (also Belgian) assumed to have been in a coma for 23 years, but who was &amp;quot;<em>suddenly found to be conscious and able to communicate by tapping on a computer&amp;quot;. </em>This was called &amp;quot;<em>facilitated communication&amp;quot;</em>. The implications once again are intriguing, or would be if the story was true. But now one of the doctors treating him has recanted. Herewith the relevant paragraph:-<em>&amp;quot;We did not have all the facts before,&amp;quot; he said. &amp;quot;To me, it&amp;apos;s enough to say that this method doesn&amp;apos;t work.&amp;quot; Just three months ago the doctor was proclaiming that Houben had been trapped in his own body, the victim of a horrendous misdiagnosis, and only rescued from his terrible plight thanks to medical advances.</em>-In my discussions with George, I&amp;apos;m constantly harping on my own unwillingness to dismiss subjective experience and anecdotal evidence, and I stand by the need for open-mindedness. However, this article, along with all the recent revelations of misinformation, errors and cover-ups, serves as a timely reminder that open-mindedness needs to be balanced by an appropriate degree of scepticism.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3253</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 16:54:18 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>DT writes: &amp;quot;If chance doesn&amp;apos;t work what is left? George&amp;apos;s argument of endless time is not available.&amp;quot; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I&amp;apos;m not aware of ever arguing for endless time. And of course I have to keep emphasising that chance doesn&amp;apos;t just work on its own but in conjunction with natural selection. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I just don&amp;apos;t accept DT&amp;apos;s statistics, which argue that evolution by natural selection from chance variation is too improbable. But lets not go over all that again here.-I apologize for being facetious. 200-400 million years is rather short in the life of the Earth (4.5 billion years) for such a complex process as life to have arranged itself by chance. Natural selection starts after life appears. Darwin&amp;apos;s evolution theory starts after life appears. I was discussing the appearance of organic life from inorganic startings.</p>
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<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3252</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 01:21:06 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DT writes: &amp;quot;If chance doesn&amp;apos;t work what is left? George&amp;apos;s argument of endless time is not available.&amp;quot; -I&amp;apos;m not aware of ever arguing for endless time. And of course I have to keep emphasising that chance doesn&amp;apos;t just work on its own but in conjunction with natural selection. -I just don&amp;apos;t accept DT&amp;apos;s statistics, which argue that evolution by natural selection from chance variation is too improbable. But lets not go over all that again here.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3249</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3249</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 20 Feb 2010 22:49:38 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>George Jelliss</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; If chance doesn&amp;apos;t work what is left? George&amp;apos;s argument of endless time is not available. Life appeared in 200-400,000 years after the Earth cooled enough, and with what we know about extremeophiles, the time coujld be somewhat shorter. That time limit is part of the probabilidties.-&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Brain half asleep this early AM.  Note typos. Time limit for life 200-400 million years. Left out 3 zeros. Sorry. Must be accurate always. No errors or admit them immediately. Energy calories at breakfast got my brain going! Is the expression &amp;apos;brain-fart&amp;apos; allowed? <img src="images/smilies/smile.png" alt=":-)" />)</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3245</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3245</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 20 Feb 2010 16:15:36 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Here&amp;apos;s the deal I&amp;apos;m offered: &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; a) choose design and have faith in a universal intelligence, the form of which is unknown and unknowable, the origin of which is inconceivable, and the presence of which is impossible to detect; b) choose chance, chuck your chemistry set in the Jacuzzi, and wait for a cry of &amp;quot;Eureka&amp;quot;.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Try arguing the opposite of what you believe. -I don&amp;apos;t need to quote Dembski, that tricky monster, to offer what I believe. Everyone, even Dawkins, agrees that most of biology <em>looks</em> designed.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;You have offered two options as a sourse of design: chance or design. If there is a <strong>third way</strong> I haven&amp;apos;t seen or heard about it as a theory. It would have to be &amp;apos;spontaneous generation&amp;apos; and that died an ingloroius death many eons ago.-We have an either/or choice. Chance requires probabilities. Matt doesn&amp;apos;t want to touch that with a ten-foot pole and insists we must know everything, every last detail, about living biochemistry, and add all knowledge ab out 10^80 particles in the universe before we can calculate the propabilities of chance. there is no way I&amp;apos;ll accept that. -There are all sorts of steps that have to be taken to even get to the necessary amino acids (20), all left-handed, nucleotides, all right-handed, while made from those 20 lefties. Only eight amino acids have arrived on Earth from the meteorites we have studied. How did the other 12 pop up? Or are we doing a Darwin: there are gaps in the record and we have&amp;apos;nt found those pesky missing rocks yet? How did RNA and DNA polymerize without enzymes, which are absolutely nesessary or the polymer reactions really will take forever, millions years for each tiny addition of a molecule? -And finally, if one has a supply of all the amino acids needed for one manufactured part <em>on the shelf</em> the probability of them coming together into something functional (i.e. the flagellum), has been calculated, and the only complaint I&amp;apos;ve seen is that an error was made (that is not admitted) but, surprisingly, when the error is accounted for, the odds remaining still negate chance.-If chance doesn&amp;apos;t work what is left? George&amp;apos;s argument of endless time is not available. Life appeared in 200-400,000 years after the Earth cooled enough, and with what we know about extremeophiles, the time coujld be somewhat shorter. That time limit is part of the probabilidties.-I&amp;apos;ll stick with design from an amorphous universal intelligence. I cannot know more than that. Except, I&amp;apos;ve got intelligence! Where did that come from? Yes, out of my brain. So how do we account for consciousness? I don&amp;apos;t know. But I&amp;apos;m happy to have it. It is an amazing emergent quality that I enjoy. And I see that convergence is everywhere in evolution. Convergence is built into the process. Many attempts at the same result. Intelligence started evolution and convergence produced mine. Now you have a brief summary of my religion.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=3244</link>
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<pubDate>Sat, 20 Feb 2010 14:29:31 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DAVID:  <em>This is why dhw&amp;apos;s rump is so sore. The tips of the picket fence can be quite pointed. Proudly sitting there is not progress. Just dhw&amp;apos;s statement that he sees no way chance can create the diversity of life we see (paraphrase) should be a big push off the fence.</em>-So there I am on my fence (padded with a great big cushion of doubt), on one side the delights of design, and on the other the charms of chance. Here&amp;apos;s the deal I&amp;apos;m offered: &amp;#13;&amp;#10;a) choose design and have faith in a universal intelligence, the form of which is unknown and unknowable, the origin of which is inconceivable, and the presence of which is impossible to detect; b) choose chance, chuck your chemistry set in the Jacuzzi, and wait for a cry of &amp;quot;Eureka&amp;quot;.-David suggests that my motto should be: &amp;quot;<em>proud to be an agnostic and damned if I&amp;apos;ll change</em>.&amp;quot; But no, even though Matt has told me how brave it is to be an agnostic, I&amp;apos;m not proud of it, and I&amp;apos;ll change if I find a convincing reason to do so. In the meantime, here are a few more mottos for everyone:-Fresh air doesn&amp;apos;t come through closed windows.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Try arguing the opposite of what you believe. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;If someone shines a spotlight, look in the shadows.-And one specially for me:  &amp;#13;&amp;#10;He who drives down the middle of the road can expect a collision.-It&amp;apos;s open house, folks. Add your own.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 20 Feb 2010 12:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The limitations of science (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>GEORGE: <em>So according to dhw then everything is just a matter of opinion and we can never arrive at any agreement. The core of the problem then lies in dhw&amp;apos;s statement: &amp;quot;<strong>I do put all these forms of evidence on an equal footing</strong>&amp;quot;. This is his statement of his agnostic faith, which is not merely that &amp;quot;we don&amp;apos;t know&amp;quot; but that &amp;quot;we cannot know&amp;quot;. Because any evidence, however flimsy, must be given the same 50/50 valuation as every other. Every gap in the evidence is equally probable to be filled in every possible way, and on this methodology the sensible joining-up-the-dots solution is no more probable than any other.</em>-Hey, hold on! First of all, finish the quote: <em>&amp;quot;...<strong>equal footing</strong>, because in my view none of them are reliable enough to prove that life did or did not come about by chance, that the brain cells are or are not the actual source of consciousness etc., that there is or is not a God.</em>&amp;quot; I&amp;apos;m not talking about &amp;quot;everything&amp;quot;. Furthermore, I&amp;apos;m talking about FORMS of evidence, not &amp;quot;<em>any evidence, however flimsy</em>&amp;quot;. We are drawing a distinction between &amp;quot;subjective experiences&amp;quot; and &amp;quot;anecdotal evidence&amp;quot; on the one hand, and scientific evidence on the other. The fact that you and David have examined the scientific evidence and come up with diametrically opposite conclusions should be enough to demonstrate that the scientific evidence is not reliable enough to prove one theory or the other. There are certain subjective experiences and accounts which I consider to be just as important to my deliberations (I make no attempt to disguise the subjectivity of my judgement) as scientific theories for which there is (still) no evidence. But of course that same subjective judgement will be applied to every individual experience and anecdote. If a drunken Irishman assures me that he saw a leprechaun in the pub last Saturday night, I shan&amp;apos;t believe him. But if my wife, David and BBella tell me about events for which there appears to be no rational explanation, I shall believe them. I shan&amp;apos;t draw any conclusions from their anecdotes (nor in fact do they), but I shan&amp;apos;t dismiss their personal evidence as &amp;quot;worthless&amp;quot; or &amp;quot;negligible&amp;quot;. And so yes indeed, I give such subjective experiences the same 50/50 valuation as your personal conviction that some time in the future science will prove that the hugely complex mechanisms of life and evolution are capable of assembling themselves by chance. -I&amp;apos;m afraid I don&amp;apos;t understand why my openness to such subjective experiences means &amp;quot;<em>we cannot know</em>&amp;quot;. Admittedly that&amp;apos;s the original definition of agnosticism, but I would still put myself in the don&amp;apos;t-know category. We can only base beliefs on what we know or think we know now. Science is advancing at breathtaking speed. Maybe the project to build a brain will prove once and for all that consciousness and its many manifestations do have a physical source. Maybe the research project into NDEs will come up with something definitive. I have my doubts on both scores, but I&amp;apos;m not going to prejudge. I remain open to whatever form of evidence comes my way, and then I will apply my subjective judgement to its credibility. You clearly regard your personal beliefs as &amp;quot;<em>the sensible joining-up-the-dots solution</em>&amp;quot;. All solutions involve joining up the dots, and &amp;quot;sensible&amp;quot; begs the obvious question of criteria. The difference between you and me here, though, is not the variety of gap-fillers, but the fact that I&amp;apos;m not prepared to ignore the dots that you consider to be unworthy of inclusion in the pattern.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 15:24:59 +0000</pubDate>
<category>The limitations of science</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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