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<title>AgnosticWeb.com - The Dodo Problem</title>
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<description>An Agnostic&#039;s Brief Guide to the Universe</description>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TONY: <em>You do not build a house without preparing the foundation unless you want it to fall down around your ears. And if you are busy &amp;apos;experimenting&amp;apos; with your foundation, the final house will fall down around your ears. This is the point I am trying to make, and it directly addresses the flaws in both scenarios(as I perceive them)1) Life IS an end in and of itself, but it was not a purposeless or meaningless experiment. 2) Humanity was not an afterthought, but a part of the design plan from the beginning(though not necessarily imprinted on the first molecule). </em>-As I have tried to make clear several times, this thread is entirely about whether the human design plan was imprinted on the first molecule. I have also acknowledged several times that if there is a UI, it laid firm foundations. That is not at issue. The experiment (Scenario 1) relates to the purpose. Although I agree that if there is a UI, it must have had a reason for creating life, no-one can state that the purpose was the creation of humans. I can well believe that a UI might have created life because it got bored and eventually hit on conscious, intelligent humans as the best possible entertainment. There is nothing apart from anthropocentric religions to contradict such a scenario. As always, I must stress that this is not meant to be offensive or to denigrate religion. I&amp;apos;m merely saying no-one knows, and the entertaining experiment is as logical an explanation as any.-TONY: <em>If you, for example, took a close look at the biblical account (being one of the better known creation stories), humanity was created independent and AFTER all other life. So, your scenario 1, coupled with what I have been trying to say about prior life being preparatory to humanity, the various stages described and their apparent analog to the Cambrian explosion, and the fact that we can not find a genetic match closer than 60% or so to Human&amp;apos;s all lends a bit more credence to at least some of that accounting being accurate. (At the very least more accurate than the evolved from amoebas and Chimps scenario).</em>-<em>We do not have evolutionary facts, we have evolutionary theories with more holes than OJ Simpson&amp;apos;s alibi. Personally, I do not think that your ideas contradict evolutionary theory, other than evolutionist would say that we come from chimps. Which I couldn&amp;apos;t disagree with more vehemently.</em>-I don&amp;apos;t know what you mean by &amp;quot;<em>analog to the Cambrian explosion</em>&amp;quot;, we&amp;apos;re told that the genetic match between chimps and humans is between 95%-98% (different sources give different figures), and just to set the record straight, evolutionists do not say we come from chimps ... they say we have a common ancestor (not important for our discussion). But you&amp;apos;re right to take me up on &amp;quot;<em>evolutionary facts</em>&amp;quot;, though I did qualify it with &amp;quot;<em>as we know them</em>&amp;quot;. We agree that humans came after the rest, but if we accept the experiment scenario, it simply means that humans are the latest result. Whether we&amp;apos;re the end product, no-one can say; the earliest known hominids are said to go back about 4.4. million years, and homo sapiens may have been around for about 200,000 years, whereas the UI was messing around with dinosaurs for about 160 million years, so it&amp;apos;s a bit early to start predicting his intentions. &amp;quot;<em>Created independent</em>&amp;quot;, as opposed to having evolved, means divine intervention, and the whole point of this thread is my suggestion that if there is a UI, it&amp;apos;s more likely to have intervened than to have preprogrammed the first molecule (= automatic evolution). You regard this as trivial, but the issue is part of a much wider subject. If we take the plunge of actually believing in a UI, we then have to consider the nature of that UI, which involves its motives for creating life, as well as the possible limitations of its powers. It&amp;apos;s a discussion that has no end, and I will try to draw these threads together when there&amp;apos;s a lull, but it&amp;apos;s difficult to keep up at the moment!</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5299</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5299</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 06 Dec 2010 14:08:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DAVID: <em>I guess some of my response is based on my own faith in the UI I have created in my mind. My UI is not a ditherer.</em>-Thank you, as always, for your honesty. Let me help you. Forget the ditherer, and admire the inventor and experimental scientist.-DAVID: <em>Your scenarios are not wrong. They fit, in their own way. They are too contrived for my taste. But then, I must remember, you need your picket fence, and the reminder that there are so many unsettled points to consider.</em>-Ah, but in order to please you, I pretended to get down from my picket fence and accept the existence of a UI. But U and I do not see I to I even over a UI.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5298</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5298</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 06 Dec 2010 14:00:53 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>TONY: <em>Possibility 1)</em> [WITHOUT A PLAN] <em>Contradict the very fact that even though things so random and unrelated they are in fact connected in such a myriad of ways that we humans with all of our technology, intellect, reasoning, creativity, and several thousand years worth of effort have yet to discover even a minuscule fraction of their interconnectedness.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I&amp;apos;m sorry, but this part of your post and your house analogy are the result of a misunderstanding. This thread is about whether God built a programme into the first molecule to make evolution culminate in humans. That and that alone is the plan I&amp;apos;m referring to. I have already several times acknowledged the interconnectedness of things, and if God created life, then of course he could not have done so without planning. -&gt; That is precisely the point that I&amp;apos;m making. If God&amp;apos;s intention right from the start was to create humans, why bother with dinosaurs? Your argument so far has been that maybe dinosaurs were essential to the creation of humans. <strong>My argument is that if you follow my two scenarios, you don&amp;apos;t have to look for such connections.</strong> In scenario 1) life is an end in itself, but <strong>God eventually gets the great idea of creating something that reflects himself more closely</strong> (humans). In scenario 2) he had already had the great idea, but <strong>didn&amp;apos;t know quite how to go about it and therefore had to keep experimenting.</strong> (I should add that I rather like the idea of God learning as he goes along, as it would make life less boring for him!) -You do not build a house without preparing the foundation unless you want it to fall down around your ears. And if you are busy &amp;apos;experimenting&amp;apos; with your foundation, the final house will fall down around your ears. This is the point I am trying to make, and it directly addresses the flaws in both scenarios(as I perceive them)1) Life IS an end in and of itself, but it was not a purposeless or meaningless experiment. 2) Humanity was not an afterthought, but a part of the design plan from the beginning(though not necessarily imprinted on the first molecule). If you, for example, took a close look at the biblical account (being one of the better known creation stories), humanity was created independent and AFTER all other life. So, your scenario 1, coupled with what I have been trying to say about prior life being preparatory to humanity, the various stages described and their apparent analog to the Cambrian explosion, and the fact that we can not find a genetic match closer than 60% or so to Human&amp;apos;s all lends a bit more credence to at least some of that accounting being accurate. (At the very least more accurate than the evolved from amoebas and Chimps scenario) -&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Both scenarios end up with man, but I have no idea whether God is going to leave it at that. If he exists, I could well imagine him waiting till David&amp;apos;s prophecy comes true (doomsday) and then starting on something else. He seemed happy enough watching dinosaurs for 160 million years, so we ain&amp;apos;t seen nothin&amp;apos; yet.  But that&amp;apos;s not the point. I&amp;apos;m arguing against the theory that God put a programme for humans into the first molecule, which I find far less likely than God intervening and experimenting. In this context, you still haven&amp;apos;t answered one question which I put to you directly: How do my two &amp;quot;divine&amp;quot; scenarios ... both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment ...  contradict the evolutionary facts as we know them?-We do not have evolutionary facts, we have evolutionary theories with more holes than OJ Simpson&amp;apos;s alibi. Personally, I do not think that your ideas contradict evolutionary theory, other than evolutionist would say that we come from chimps. Which I couldn&amp;apos;t disagree with more vehemently.-&amp;#13;&amp;#10;I think ultimately you and I are disagreeing on a very very specific point that to me is trivial. The phrases &amp;apos;preprogrammed in the molecule&amp;apos; and &amp;apos;part of the plan before the first molecule was created&amp;apos;. One implies the instructions were hardwired, the other that there was some active creation happening. My personal view is active creation, though I can see the appeal and possibility of hardwired instructions. In a sense, I kind of think that BOTH are correct, and not mutually exclusive based on my belief about everything being connected.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5289</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 18:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>Balance_Maintained</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>David and dhw squabbling over which of these scenarios is most in line with the demands of our mutual friend William of Ockham. May I just ask you why you are so resolutely opposed to the idea of God not having got it all figured out from the very start?-Like a mathematician, I prefer the elegance of my scenario. Set up the genome to develop complexity, and let life forms develop in every  direction, with the ability to adapt to changing ernvironment. Remember the Earth was still is very formative stages when first life began. No afterthought fiddlings. The other evolution, that of our universe, was quite straight forward, and follows the underlying laws very nicely. Sir William also asked for the simplest explanation, as I was taught, for the factors at hand. I guess some of my response is based on my own faith in the UI I have created in my mind. My UI is not a ditherer.-Your scenarios are not wrong. They fit, in their own way. They are too contrived for my taste. But then, I must remember, you need your picket fence, and the reminder that there are so many unsettled points to consider.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5288</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5288</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 15:28:52 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TONY: <em>Possibility 1)</em> [WITHOUT A PLAN] <em>Contradict the very fact that even though things so random and unrelated they are in fact connected in such a myriad of ways that we humans with all of our technology, intellect, reasoning, creativity, and several thousand years worth of effort have yet to discover even a minuscule fraction of their interconnectedness.</em>-I&amp;apos;m sorry, but this part of your post and your house analogy are the result of a misunderstanding. This thread is about whether God built a programme into the first molecule to make evolution culminate in humans. That and that alone is the plan I&amp;apos;m referring to. I have already several times acknowledged the interconnectedness of things, and if God created life, then of course he could not have done so without planning. -TONY: <em>The second scenario doesn&amp;apos;t make sense in at least one fashion. Creating a Dinosaur, or a plant, or a platypus, is not even remotely close to creating something akin to human.</em>-That is precisely the point that I&amp;apos;m making. If God&amp;apos;s intention right from the start was to create humans, why bother with dinosaurs? Your argument so far has been that maybe dinosaurs were essential to the creation of humans. My argument is that if you follow my two scenarios, you don&amp;apos;t have to look for such connections. In scenario 1) life is an end in itself, but God eventually gets the great idea of creating something that reflects himself more closely (humans). In scenario 2) he had already had the great idea, but didn&amp;apos;t know quite how to go about it and therefore had to keep experimenting. (I should add that I rather like the idea of God learning as he goes along, as it would make life less boring for him!) -TONY: <em>One thing that came to mind for your second question is this: According to that idea, mankind is not the end goal. Which leads me to a follow up question. If mankind is not the end goal, why have we not seen any major changes in our evolution? No third eye, fourth arm, increase mental capabilities, anything to suggest that we are going to evolve into something greater than ourselves.</em>-Both scenarios end up with man, but I have no idea whether God is going to leave it at that. If he exists, I could well imagine him waiting till David&amp;apos;s prophecy comes true (doomsday) and then starting on something else. He seemed happy enough watching dinosaurs for 160 million years, so we ain&amp;apos;t seen nothin&amp;apos; yet.  But that&amp;apos;s not the point. I&amp;apos;m arguing against the theory that God put a programme for humans into the first molecule, which I find far less likely than God intervening and experimenting. In this context, you still haven&amp;apos;t answered one question which I put to you directly: How do my two &amp;quot;divine&amp;quot; scenarios ... both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment ...  contradict the evolutionary facts as we know them?</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5284</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5284</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 13:24:57 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw: <em>For the sake of argument, however, I&amp;apos;ve accepted the UI scenario, but cannot see the logic in the view that evolution with its vast number of branches was geared right from the start to the automatic creation of humans.</em>-DAVID: <em>You keep missing the point that results in accepting the above scenario: the stresses of the environment, climate change, nature, natural enemies, do not require the development of big-brained humans. We are so highly developed, we are now tending to threaten the balance of nature on the planet. In fact we can blow the blue dot up!!! Then why are we here?? We are certainly more developed than we need be over the 6 million years of our development, and over the last 2,000 years we are becoming downright dangerous to the health of this planet! The doomsday clock is there for a logical reason! But we are here without any reason suggested by Darwin&amp;apos;s logic.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;DAVID: <em>Your scenarios fit the evolutionary processes we see but ignore my comments above. All of the reasoning has to fit under Ockham&amp;apos;s umbrella. Your&amp;apos;s doesn&amp;apos;t. Why the big brain, unless it was predestined?</em>-I don&amp;apos;t think I&amp;apos;ve missed the point. The fact that the environment does not require the development of humans is as much an argument for intervention as it is for pre-programming. If God exists, then I agree we&amp;apos;re here for a logical reason, and in one of my two scenarios I&amp;apos;ve agreed that God may have started out with the intention of producing us. And I most certainly agree that all of the reasoning has to fit under Ockham&amp;apos;s umbrella. That is precisely where you and I part company. So let&amp;apos;s try to visualize how it all happened, with God starting from scratch. First, the facts (ever so slightly simplified): on Friday 13th, Mrs Chimpobo gives birth to a weirdo with a large brain.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;Atheist scenario: What a stroke of luck!-Your scenario: God creates the mechanism for life and evolution, and says to himself: &amp;quot;What I want is a human being, and so after X million years of evolution, a descendant on the end of branch No. 100,000,000 of the life bush will give birth on Friday 13th to a weirdo with a large brain.&amp;quot; And he programmes the birth and all the intermediate stages into the very first molecule. Either the other 99,999,999 branches are essential for the production of humans, or many if not most are a waste of time and space. Even for you it&amp;apos;s hard to imagine that all 99,999,999 branches should be essential, but you believe God has his own logic, or he is incapable of tampering with his own inventions.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;My two divine scenarios: God creates the mechanism for life and evolution. He says to himself either 1) &amp;quot;Let&amp;apos;s see where this leads,&amp;quot; or 2) &amp;quot;I&amp;apos;d like to create something like me, but I&amp;apos;m not sure how to do it.&amp;quot; After various interventions (major innovations like sex, for instance), on Friday 13th, God says to himself, &amp;quot;I like the look of this chimpobo on branch No. 100,000,000. I reckon I can develop it into something much more advanced if I just add a few bits and pieces to its brain. Certainly a better bet than the dodo.&amp;quot; The other 99,999,999 branches are either part of the quest for the right formula for humans (2), or they&amp;apos;re part of the experiment to see what can be made out of life (1).&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;The result: the same in all scenarios. On Friday 13th, Mrs Chimpobo gives birth to the first hominid, leading eventually to the pinnacle of creation: David and dhw squabbling over which of these scenarios is most in line with the demands of our mutual friend William of Ockham. May I just ask you why you are so resolutely opposed to the idea of God not having got it all figured out from the very start?</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5283</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 13:10:18 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As an after thought:-I propose an experiment. Build a house, from the ground up, including creating all the components necessary to construct the house, without a plan. We can even cheat a little. For this experiment you will be allowed to start off with a selection of seeds of your choosing, and any other natural inanimate resource that you so desire. However, you are not allowed to plan more than one step in advance. The final product must be strong enough that it doesn&amp;apos;t collapse under any circumstances, and must be suitable for living under any conditions found in the inhabited part of Earth. Any modern conveniences that you choose to have have to be constructed in the same fashion. -Sound ridiculous? No more so than saying that a UI created the universe, the elements, the laws of nature, the earth, and all life without a plan. In fact, I would argue that what I have proposed is infinitely less complicated and less ridiculous than what was proposed in your first question. Which leaves only the second question which is much more difficult to address.-One thing that came to mind for your second question is this: According to that idea, mankind is not the end goal. Which leads me to a follow up question. If mankind is not the end goal, why have we not seen any major changes in our evolution? No third eye, fourth arm, increase mental capabilities, anything to suggest that we are going to evolve into something greater than ourselves.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5278</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5278</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 03:27:41 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>Balance_Maintained</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>For the sake of argument, however, I&amp;apos;ve accepted the UI scenario, but cannot see the logic in the view that evolution with its vast number of branches was geared right from the start to the automatic creation of humans. I have offered two alternative views: 1) God created life without a plan but through experimentation got to humans. 2) God did have a plan ... to create a reflection of himself ... but needed to keep experimenting in order to get closer and closer to what he was looking for. Both scenarios dispense with the need to find a purpose for the dodo, and the need to explain why God should have chosen such a roundabout route to humanity. Of course you can argue, as David does, that we don&amp;apos;t understand God&amp;apos;s logic, but with my two scenarios there is no such mystery. This brings me to the question which was central to my previous post but which you have ignored, and so I will ask it again: How do these two possibilities, both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment, contradict the facts as we know them?&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; -&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Possibility 1) Contradict the very fact that even though things so random and unrelated they are in fact connected in such a myriad of ways that we humans with all of our technology, intellect, reasoning, creativity, and several thousand years worth of effort have yet to discover even a minuscule fraction of their interconnectedness. Every single species, be it plant or animal, and every single element and molecule functions in beautiful harmony. Does that sound like the work of a shoddy experimenter? Even the ancient creatures, dinosaurs, mastodons, bacteria, plants, all lived in a strange sort of symbiotic harmony together. Just to make sure that is perfectly clear. The VERY FIRST species of life on this planet, and every species that has EVER existed has lived in symbiotic harmony with each other. The only thing even remotely challenging that statement that I am aware of is Humanity itself, who by virtue of our lofty reasoning abilities manage to throw things completely out of balance. And I think that is an important feature in and of itself. Only the work of an intelligent creature has been able to de-harmonize the work of another intelligence. No major cataclysm ever managed to provide more than a momentary bump in this design. No virus, no meteor, earthquake, or volcano, not even the splitting of Pangaea. None of this strikes me as the work of a sloppy, inexperienced workman.-&amp;#13;&amp;#10;The second scenario doesn&amp;apos;t make sense in at least one fashion. Creating a Dinosaur, or a plant, or a platypus, is not even remotely close to creating something akin to human. In fact, there is no other creature in existence on this planet that comes even remotely close to what makes us human. Our reasoning, intellect, emotion, ascetic appreciation, imagination, self-awareness, creativity, and other fundamentally human traits. The closest they can come up with is a chimp or a gorilla which is indeed a poor approximation, no matter how much sign language they can teach it.-I hope that addresses the questions. I have not been intentionally ignoring them, but felt that directly answering them was rather unnecessary if I was able to make the point of harmonic symbiosis of all life clear.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5277</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 05 Dec 2010 03:11:46 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>Balance_Maintained</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; For the sake of argument, however, I&amp;apos;ve accepted the UI scenario, but cannot see the logic in the view that evolution with its vast number of branches was geared right from the start to the automatic creation of humans.-You keep missing the point that results in accepting the above scenario: the stresses of the environment, climate change, nature, natural enemies,  do not require the development of big-brained humans. We are so highly developed, we are now tending to threaten the balance of nature on the planet. In fact we can blow the blue dot up!!! Then why are we here?? We are certainly more developed than we need be over the 6 million years of our development, and over the last 2,000 years we are becoming downright dangerous to the health of this planet! The doomsday clock is there for a logical reason! But we are here without any reason suggested by Darwin&amp;apos;s logic.- &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I have offered two alternative views: 1) God created life without a plan but through experimentation got to humans. 2) God did have a plan ... to create a reflection of himself ... but needed to keep experimenting in order to get closer and closer to what he was looking for. Both scenarios dispense with the need to find a purpose for the dodo, and the need to explain why God should have chosen such a roundabout route to humanity. Of course you can argue, as David does, that we don&amp;apos;t understand God&amp;apos;s logic, but with my two scenarios there is no such mystery. This brings me to the question which was central to my previous post but which you have ignored, and so I will ask it again: How do these two possibilities, both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment, contradict the facts as we know them?-Your scenarios fit the evolutionary processes we see but ignore my comments above. All of the reasoning has to fit under Ockham&amp;apos;s umbrella. Your&amp;apos;s doesn&amp;apos;t. Why the big brain, unless it was predestined?</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5271</link>
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<pubDate>Sat, 04 Dec 2010 14:58:33 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TONY: <em>The dodo may not have been any more necessary to human life than the carpet and furniture in your home. But you still have carpet and furniture don&amp;apos;t you? [...] I can not tell you what the purpose of the Dodo was. I am sure that there was a purpose, though, even if it was only as a crunchy snack for something more important.</em>-This is a delightful post, because you have done a wonderful job illustrating the interconnectedness of all things, as well as their value and beauty in the moment of their existence. It therefore seems almost churlish if I point out that there is absolutely nothing here that even remotely supports the argument for the first molecule being pre-programmed to create humans. At the risk of being a bore, I&amp;apos;d like to summarize the argument in order to encompass the beautiful observations you have made, but also including the atheist scenario.-You have stressed &amp;quot;purpose&amp;quot;. If there is a God, it&amp;apos;s fair enough to do so, but from an atheist standpoint, there&amp;apos;s no need for purpose. Life is an end in itself, is beautiful for its own sake (just as a symphony or a painting is beautiful for its own sake), and we do not need to explain the dodo or any other form of existence. The interconnectedness of all things applied long before humans came on the scene, and it will apply long after we have disappeared. -For the sake of argument, however, I&amp;apos;ve accepted the UI scenario, but cannot see the logic in the view that evolution with its vast number of branches was geared right from the start to the automatic creation of humans. I have offered two alternative views: 1) God created life without a plan but through experimentation got to humans. 2) God did have a plan ... to create a reflection of himself ... but needed to keep experimenting in order to get closer and closer to what he was looking for. Both scenarios dispense with the need to find a purpose for the dodo, and the need to explain why God should have chosen such a roundabout route to humanity. Of course you can argue, as David does, that we don&amp;apos;t understand God&amp;apos;s logic, but with my two scenarios there is no such mystery. This brings me to the question which was central to my previous post but which you have ignored, and so I will ask it again: How do these two possibilities, both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment, contradict the facts as we know them?-Again, though, let me say how much I appreciate your post.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 04 Dec 2010 12:31:28 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The dodo may not have been any more necessary to human life than the carpet and furniture in your home. But you still have carpet and furniture don&amp;apos;t you? Even if you KNOW that you are going to have to throw that carpet out in a few years when its time is past. When a carpenter builds a house, he will often create supports for walls and rafters that he KNOWS he is going to have to tear down later. But for that particular moment, they serve a purpose. When you build larger buildings, boats, or pretty much anything off the ground, you build scaffolding that you KNOW you are going to have to tear down later. Is it wasteful for the carpenter, or the architect, or the shipwright to do these things? Were they less important to the final product because they were temporary? -&amp;#13;&amp;#10;In my humble opinion, we are as ultimately ignorant of things as the UI would have to be ultimately knowledgeable. Every year we find things that we *thought* were irrelevant, pointless, useless, replaceable or otherwise unnecessary to be vital to our existence. Normally, we only figure this out once we have nearly destroyed them, but..better late than never. Bird shit is vital to our existence as a human race. So the nightingale sings a beautiful tune. It also spreads seeds around the world. Whale corpses are vital to our existence as a race. These graceful and majestic creatures with their mysterious language provide food for nearly every layer of the ocean(which in turn sustains our atmosphere and feeds us). Our own dead and decomposing bodies and our own fecal matter is vital to our existence as a human race as it returns to the soil and nourishes it so that new life can emerge(I find it an appalling shame that we try and stop this process via embalming and caskets and all that). And right now your computer is ultimately being powered by the rotted remains of an animal that lived millions of years ago. -I can not tell you what the purpose of the Dodo was. I am sure that there was a purpose though, even if it was only as a crunchy snack for something more important.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5258</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5258</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 19:42:12 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>Balance_Maintained</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David and Tony believe that humans were pre-programmed in the very first self-replicating molecule. I have argued that the many branches of evolution suggest that at best this would have been a very wasteful, roundabout process, and I have taken the dodo as a symbol of the illogicality of this belief.-TONY: <em>As for the Dodo, what ate the dodo? What ate the dodo&amp;apos;s remains, or droppings, or eggs? What mites festered beneath the dodo&amp;apos;s feathers? What did the Dodo eat? Was it something that no other animal at the time ate? Did the Dodo have or develop any unique immunities that it passed on to the creatures that ate it? What about and unique genetic mutations that were passed on to the creatures who ate it? Unless you know absolutely every detail about the Dodo, you can not say that the Dodo was irrelevant to the process of preparing the earth or sustaining the growing life on it.</em>-In that case, you presumably believe that every living and extinct plant and creature on earth was pre-programmed in the first self-replicating molecule, since no matter what example I give, you can say it may have been essential for the ultimate goal of evolution: the human being. Of course I can&amp;apos;t prove otherwise, because unless we know absolutely every detail about every plant and every creature (which we will never do), we can&amp;apos;t say they were irrelevant. Nor, of course, can we say they were relevant. Nor can we say they were or were not pre-programmed. We can only say what seems to us to be logical, and what fits in with the facts as we know them. (I don&amp;apos;t think anyone has ever established an evolutionary link between the dodo and man, apart from the fact that man may well have been responsible for its extinction.) Even David has to admit that with this interpretation, we are forced to rely on God having a different form of logic from our own. No problem for you or for him, but a problem for me because I can only think as a human being, and I can only believe what actually makes sense to me. If I allow for a God, and leave aside the atheist view that humans are just one of the branches that grew out of the original chance-created mechanism, I find that the branching process fits in more logically with God allowing life to go its own way and occasionally intervening with innovations, possibly improvising as he went (without plan), or possibly experimenting in order to get to a creature that might reflect himself (with plan). I will therefore ask you, as I asked David, how do these two possibilities, both of which explain irrelevances and extinctions and also eliminate dependence on random changes in the environment, contradict the facts as we know them?-TONY: <em>The baker analogy is more fitting. Does the baker have to plan precisely how much sugar the yeast will consume, or how much they will ferment, or how much gas they will release? No. He simply knows that in 45 min, the yeast will feed on the sugars in the dough and make the bread rise before it is ready to put in the oven.</em>-More fitting than what? My objection to your analogy was the fact that your baker wanted to make a loaf of bread but accidentally baked a dozen jam tarts as well, and then threw them away. However, your dodo argument suggests that God the baker can&amp;apos;t make a loaf without also making jam tarts.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 14:18:11 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Tony (B_M), presumably in support of David&amp;apos;s anthropocentric interpretation of evolution, has again rightly pointed out that humans depend on all other life, which depends on the earth, which depends on the galaxy, which depends on the universe etc. This applied to the dodo just as much as to you and me, and certainly does not mean that humans were the final goal. If you can explain why dodos were a necessary part of God&amp;apos;s plan to create humans, I might be able to understand why a specific, perfectly planned project takes precedence over 1) an improvised experiment with no ultimate goal, or 2) a targeted experiment without prior knowledge of how to achieve the goal. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; As for a baker planning to make a loaf and waiting 45 minutes for the dough to rise, it&amp;apos;s a nice analogy, but it doesn&amp;apos;t explain why someone who wants to bake a loaf should produce a dozen jam tarts as well, and then throw them away. (My analogy relates to the dodo, not to the obviously essential microbes or plants.)-The baker analogy is more fitting. Does the baker have to plan precisely how much sugar the yeast will consume, or how much they will ferment, or how much gas they will release? No. He simply knows that in 45 min, the yeast will feed on the sugars in the dough and make the bread rise before it is ready to put in the oven. -As for the Dodo, what ate the dodo? What ate the dodo&amp;apos;s remains, or droppings, or eggs? What mites festered beneath the dodo&amp;apos;s feathers? What did the Dodo eat? Was it something that no other animal at the time ate? Did the Dodo have or develop any unique immunities that it passed on to the creatures that ate it? What about and unique genetic mutations that were passed on to the creatures who ate it? Unless you know absolutely every detail about the Dodo, you can not say that the Dodo was irrelevant to the process of preparing the earth or sustaining the growing life on it.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5241</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5241</guid>
<pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 05:02:08 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>Balance_Maintained</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Based on extremeophiles, life was created to be tenacious, pop up everywhere, to be sure evolution of life survived to create us. -A tough extremophile bacteria has been found in Mono Lake, living with high concentrations of arsenic. Once started, living matter is extremely tough, and ery adaptable.:-http://www.the-scientist.com/news/display/57851/-A more theologic discussion of the arsenic bug and what it means in a duscussion of purpose in evolution;-http://procrustes.blogtownhall.com/2010/12/02/alien_life.thtml</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5237</link>
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<pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 01:54:36 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>What I find separating David and the atheists is basically what uve already mentioned that did the species evolve first through a creator or they are here just by chance.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I am probably gonna end up dying without knowing the definitive answer to all of this. I said probably like the true agnostic that I am.(LOL)-Both of your comments have &amp;apos;time&amp;apos; as part of the equation.Chance for progress in complexity is working against known &amp;apos;time&amp;apos; intervals. So probabilities are part of the issue. Matt wants concrete math with knowledge of everything in the universe to calculate odds. I  say it is obvious that 540 million years from the Cambrian Explosion is not enough time for chance mutation to create the current human brain. The other odds are how to put together a life form from inorganic matter. That only  took 250 million years!!!</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5234</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5234</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 02 Dec 2010 14:42:01 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the reply. I have gone through the explanations in detail of both David and yourself. What I find separating David and the atheists is basically what uve already mentioned that did the species evolve first through a creator or they are here just by chance.-Both the sides have one version backed by some theories which are based on certain facts and assumptions where David is assuming that it just cannot be created by chance if you look at the complexities of the human genome and that too much is being attributed to chance and the atheists simply believe in the concept of seeing and understanding through purely material methods and hence for them the probability of a creator starting all this is very improbable. As far as I am concerned I know one thing for sure. I am probably gonna end up dying without knowing the definitive answer to all of this. I said probably like the true agnostic that I am.(LOL)</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5233</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5233</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 02 Dec 2010 13:38:06 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>satyansh</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In response to satyansh and David.-Satyansh: <em>well all i know is there isnt really a definitive answer as to whether it is IE or NS. But david what i wanna know is how are you so positive that it has to be IE &amp;#13;&amp;#10;(Intelligent Design)</em>-David has already responded, and I do hope you will read the post he has referred to, as I think it&amp;apos;s an excellent summary of the case for ID. You&amp;apos;re certainly right that there is no definitive answer, but from my agnostic standpoint I&amp;apos;d like to correct a common misunderstanding ... which I&amp;apos;ve pointed out before. Intelligent Design (ID) and Natural Selection (NS) are not alternatives. You can believe in both. NS is only part of the theory of evolution. It explains why some species survive and others don&amp;apos;t. It tells us nothing about the origin of life, or even the origin of new organs and new species, which may depend on chance mutations and adaptation to changes in the environment. Those theists who accept the theory of evolution believe God created the whole mechanism. Atheists believe the mechanism initially came into being by sheer chance. Darwin himself was an agnostic, and said quite explicitly that his theory was perfectly compatible with belief in a Creator.-You have asked why God (if he exists) bothered to &amp;quot;<em>create us in steps</em>&amp;quot;, and that question lies at the heart of this &amp;quot;dodo&amp;quot; thread. The fact that conditions had to be made suitable for us to live in has been clearly demonstrated by both Tony (balance_maintained) and David, and so early, primitive forms of microbial and plant life were necessary. But once conditions were right, why go through all those generations of, for example, dinosaurs if the intention right from the start was to produce humans? This is the point of disagreement between David and myself, and if there really was a Universal Intelligence at work, I&amp;apos;m suggesting as you do that it continued to experiment. Sitting back and watching countless species branching off, living and dying while the initial mechanism works its way towards humanity does not seem like logical planning to me.-DAVID: <em>No one has said that the UI is logical at our level of thought.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Your own approach to the question of ID versus chance has always been scientific and humanly logical. I don&amp;apos;t know why, on this one issue of pre-planning, you feel you need to jettison human logic.-DAVID: <em>It was pre-planned to happen.</em> (Later: <em>The mechanisms are built in.)</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;I can&amp;apos;t say it was NOT pre-planned, any more than you can say it WAS pre-planned. We are as evenly matched in our speculative ignorance as we are in our stubbornness! -&amp;#13;&amp;#10;DAVID: <em>You have the UI dabbling and dithering too much IMHO. There should be (I don&amp;apos;t know this) some degree of preciseness if one can easily create a universe as starters.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Instead of the UI dabbling and dithering, you have him inventing a mechanism that is anything but precise with its branching here, there and everywhere, plus its dependence on random changes in the environment. In any case, what you call dabbling and dithering, others may call scientific experimentation. -DAVID: <em>There are self-correcting safeguards against tampering, the complex feed back loops of epigenetics.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;So a power that can easily create a universe as starters is incapable of &amp;quot;tampering&amp;quot; with its own invention? -I fear that we two mules will never agree on this. The offer of a truce remains open!</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5232</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5232</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 02 Dec 2010 11:17:05 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; I find your argument against &amp;quot;dumb luck&amp;quot; totally convincing, here as in your book, and as I keep trying to emphasize, it is one reason why I cannot accept the atheist argument that attributes life, consciousness etc. to chance. In my last post I have tried to make that clear, and have also tried to make it clear that I can&amp;apos;t believe in a UI that either came about by chance or has always been around. That is why I&amp;apos;m an agnostic. I can only repeat that my objection to your scenario is that you focus the UI&amp;apos;s original mechanism  precisely on the deliberate and automatic production of humans, while at the same time it produces by chance a vast array of species that have nothing to do with the production of humans. This does not seem to me a logical piece of planning.-No one has said that the UI is logical at our level of thought. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;  In your automatic scenario, why would the original mechanism have changed from chimpobo to hominid, since the chimpobos were doing OK (and are still around to prove it, although the bonobo is in trouble now)?-Because the automatic scheme branched off a line, australopithicus, to grow big brains. It was pr-planned to happen&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; My two scenarios allow for all the other branches and extinctions and irrelevancies between first molecule and first homo sapiens, and do not rely on random changes to the environment. <strong>Please tell me how they contradict the evolutionary facts as we know them.</strong>-You have the UI dabbling and dithering too much IMHO. There should be (I don&amp;apos;t know this) some degree of preciseness if one can easily create a universe as starters&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; In your response to BBella, you ask: &amp;quot;<em>What can &amp;apos;outside interference&amp;apos; do to living primates to make their brains grow?&amp;quot; </em>If there is such a thing as a UI that created the original physical mechanism, it could also interfere (experiment) with it as above, just as our puny human scientists interfere (experiment) even now with existing mechanisms. -The UI doesn&amp;apos;t have to. The mechanisms are built in and there are self-correcting safeguards against tampering, the complex feed back loops of epigenetics.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5230</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5230</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 01 Dec 2010 17:59:35 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>well all i know is there isnt really a definitive answer as to whether it is IE or NS. But david what i wanna know is how are you so positive that it has to be IE &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; (Intelligent Design)-The answer is so long I wrote a book, but the following entry here is a brief summary, under the title &amp;apos;A challenge to David&amp;apos; from Matt.-Monday, November 15, 2010, 16:02 . Look up this entry. I&amp;apos;ve done 30cyears of study on these subjects, read 150 books and am still reading.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5229</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5229</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 01 Dec 2010 17:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>The Dodo Problem (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I can tell you one thing with some certainty. This problem isn&amp;apos;t gonna be solved here. there are just not enough facts to prove the atheist argument or any other argument. -I think it all stems from the fact that some set of ideas make more sense to x people and some set of ideas make more sense to y people.-the funny thing is atheists keep insisting that they believe in reason but a lot of arguments from their side also stem from some basic assumptions that they make which sounds more like faith to me than anything else.-But while we are on the subject. I still have this question if we say that god created us why did he bother to create us in steps. was god playing a game. was he just having fun seeing us in different forms. or he was experimenting in seeing which forms suit well on this planet. why would this whole process happen. i am asking questions from you guys because i wanna increase my knowledge. Now it is your turn to teach me all these concepts in detail like i told you guys about Hinduism.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5227</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5227</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 01 Dec 2010 13:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
<category>Evolution</category><dc:creator>satyansh</dc:creator>
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