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<title>AgnosticWeb.com - Inference and its role in NS</title>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw,-I will continue to serve my function as long as it is appreciated an/or called for!  -As a minor aside, I appreciate your willingness to join me in building a framework to discuss these details... but I&amp;apos;m constantly reminded about how impossible it is to exclude the &amp;quot;philosophical&amp;quot; from these discussions...-My opposition to Dawkins is purely in the realm of an adherence to &amp;quot;truth.&amp;quot;  If we don&amp;apos;t have evidence of &amp;quot;truth&amp;quot; we don&amp;apos;t have truth.  So if we have no evidence of God (as he himself has said publicly) we don&amp;apos;t have any evidence based upon which to say &amp;quot;God does not exist.&amp;quot;   -Dawkins (and similar thinkers) look only upon those religious claims that have been made since the dawn of time and don&amp;apos;t consider (mainly for operational reasons) things such as my strawman deism.  Sam Harris has taken the position that it is only the claims that have been made that atheism attacks, but being who I am I must point out that <em><strong>all</strong> of us are metaphysicians.</em>  The corollary here is that if every person is a metaphysician, then every person makes some kind of claim and that atheism in this light is then in the position of attacking every conceivable form of theism.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5804</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jan 2011 01:05:54 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT: <em>I will point out that this discussion has been about Dawkins saying that the whole of life is explained by natural selection, which you take issue with. My job here has been to &amp;quot;be&amp;quot; Dawkins. </em>-Errrm, not quite, but perhaps this has led to our talking at cross purposes. The discussion began with my asking David (17 January at 11.14) how the available living space theory could lead to diversification (new organs and species), as this question had been glossed over by statements like: &amp;quot;<em>when birds evolved the ability to fly</em>&amp;quot;. In my thank you response to David on 18 January at 12.11, I wrote: &amp;quot;<em>I find it galling that scientists continue to talk of evolution by natural selection, as if adaptation and innovation ... without which there would be no diversification and nothing to select from ... could be taken for granted. This is a linguistic device used, among others, by Dawkins, who claims that NS &amp;quot;explains the whole of life&amp;quot;</em>.&amp;quot; -I used Dawkins only as an added example, following on from the living space article, and in my post to you on 22 January at 10.21 I explained exactly how and why this linguistic device is used. Since then, I&amp;apos;ve continued to object to the claim that NS and evolution are synonymous, and you&amp;apos;ve continued (apparently) to defend it. I appreciate, however, that you&amp;apos;ve been acting as the devil&amp;apos;s advocate without actually knowing what the devil has to say (though the title <em>The God Delusion </em>gives you a pretty good idea), but the same &amp;quot;glossing over&amp;quot; is all too common in articles about evolution. -As you agree that  &amp;quot;<em>the mechanisms which brought about life are also responsible for how life changes</em>&amp;quot;, you clearly agree that evolution and natural selection are not synonymous, and so I suggest we shake hands and move on ... which is what we usually do anyway!</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jan 2011 12:52:36 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I object to evolution being made synonymous with natural selection. NS is an automatic process which not even ID-ers would regard as needing guidance. The ID argument is based on the complexity of the mechanisms that have given rise to life, adaptation and innovation, without which evolution cannot take place. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; dhw: <em>That is why the attempt to synonymize evolution and natural selection ... i.e. to exclude the huge questions raised by these mechanisms ... is not acceptable to anyone who takes evolution and the design issue seriously.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; MATT: <em>Dawkins doesn&amp;apos;t take it seriously? No, again the real issue is normative epistemology. You disagree to what valid evidence is. That&amp;apos;s it in a nutshell. Science is not about finding &amp;apos;truth&amp;apos; it is about models that work ... and however incomplete it may be, name an explanation that works better? There&amp;apos;s none on the table...</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Not for the first time you have quoted me, and then ignored what I&amp;apos;ve said. I stated that my reason for this whole discussion &amp;quot;is the issue of chance v. design&amp;quot;. Nowhere have I questioned the model, and nowhere have I suggested there is a better explanation. I believe that evolution (micro and - still unexplained - macro) happened, I believe the theory of common ancestry, I do not question that natural selection happens, and I do not question the existence of the mechanisms for life, replication, adaptation and innovation. The sole issue here is whether the mechanisms could or could not have assembled themselves by chance. The design argument is that the greater the complexity, the greater the degree of improbability that chance could do it. &amp;quot;That&amp;apos;s it in a nutshell.&amp;quot; You may disagree with that argument, you may feel that since we can&amp;apos;t know the answers, it&amp;apos;s not worth asking the questions, but that is no reason for defining evolution in a manner that deliberately excludes the questions.-dhw,-I will point out that this discussion has been about Dawkins saying that the whole of life is explained by natural selection, which you take issue with.  My job here has been to &amp;quot;be&amp;quot; Dawkins.  -The mechanisms which brought about life are also responsible for how life changes.  This is a separate discussion.  Dawkin&amp;apos;s statement is to look at what we&amp;apos;ve observed.  The reason for what we see now is because of millions of years of selection at work.  -Thus, the &amp;quot;whole of life.&amp;quot;-Maybe I need more context for his claim, but I don&amp;apos;t see anything wrong with it.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 29 Jan 2011 23:15:49 +0000</pubDate>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I object to evolution being made synonymous with natural selection. NS is an automatic process which not even ID-ers would regard as needing guidance. -&gt; I stated that my reason for this whole discussion &amp;quot;is the issue of chance v. design&amp;quot;. Nowhere have I questioned the model, and nowhere have I suggested there is a better explanation. I believe that evolution (micro and - still unexplained - macro) happened, I believe the theory of common ancestry, I do not question that natural selection happens.-Here is a form of natural selection which is an extreme natural challenge and causes the third largest extinction 450 million years ago. Hot to cold to hot again: -http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2011/01/how-to-read-a-prehistoric-thermo.html?ref=hp</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 29 Jan 2011 22:58:06 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I object to evolution being made synonymous with natural selection. NS is an automatic process which not even ID-ers would regard as needing guidance. The ID argument is based on the complexity of the mechanisms that have given rise to life, adaptation and innovation, without which evolution cannot take place. -dhw: <em>That is why the attempt to synonymize evolution and natural selection ... i.e. to exclude the huge questions raised by these mechanisms ... is not acceptable to anyone who takes evolution and the design issue seriously.</em>-MATT: <em>Dawkins doesn&amp;apos;t take it seriously? No, again the real issue is normative epistemology. You disagree to what valid evidence is. That&amp;apos;s it in a nutshell. Science is not about finding &amp;apos;truth&amp;apos; it is about models that work ... and however incomplete it may be, name an explanation that works better? There&amp;apos;s none on the table...</em>-Not for the first time you have quoted me, and then ignored what I&amp;apos;ve said. I stated that my reason for this whole discussion &amp;quot;is the issue of chance v. design&amp;quot;. Nowhere have I questioned the model, and nowhere have I suggested there is a better explanation. I believe that evolution (micro and - still unexplained - macro) happened, I believe the theory of common ancestry, I do not question that natural selection happens, and I do not question the existence of the mechanisms for life, replication, adaptation and innovation. The sole issue here is whether the mechanisms could or could not have assembled themselves by chance. The design argument is that the greater the complexity, the greater the degree of improbability that chance could do it. &amp;quot;That&amp;apos;s it in a nutshell.&amp;quot; You may disagree with that argument, you may feel that since we can&amp;apos;t know the answers, it&amp;apos;s not worth asking the questions, but that is no reason for defining evolution in a manner that deliberately excludes the questions.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 28 Jan 2011 12:44:16 +0000</pubDate>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dhw&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; MATT: <em>As far as natural selection is concerned, <strong>it does not matter </strong>whether or not we know exactly how the bacteria did what it did.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; DAVID: <em>New genetics, same species. Microevolution, and it doesn&amp;apos;t prove macroevolution.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; MATT: <em>In the Dawkins view, your question gets pushed all the way back to abiogenesis...</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; The crux of the matter is why we&amp;apos;re having this discussion at all, and my reason (David&amp;apos;s as well, I presume) is the issue of chance v. design, and hence the existence or non-existence of a designer. Do we believe that chance could assemble the ingredients for life (abiogenesis) and for the mechanisms of adaptation and innovation (micro and macro evolution) without which evolution could not take place? How these mechanisms function &amp;quot;doesn&amp;apos;t matter&amp;quot; for NS, and it &amp;quot;doesn&amp;apos;t matter&amp;quot; if you are only concerned with why evolution happens. It does matter if you are arguing for or against design. David has posted article after article, emphasizing the complexities and the still unsolved mysteries which for him reinforce the design argument. That is why the attempt to synonymize evolution and natural selection ... i.e. to exclude the huge questions raised by these mechanisms ... is not acceptable to anyone who takes evolution and the design issue seriously.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;-Dawkins doesn&amp;apos;t take it seriously?  No, again the real issue is normative epistemology.  You disagree to what valid evidence is.  That&amp;apos;s it in a nutshell.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Science is not about finding &amp;apos;truth&amp;apos; it is about models that work--and however incomplete it may be, name an explanation that works better?  There&amp;apos;s none on the table...</p>
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<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jan 2011 23:30:27 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw: <em>1) if organisms don&amp;apos;t adapt to the conditions they will die (selective pressure); 2) some organisms adapt/change/innovate; 3) those that have changed appropriately survive (natural selection). Phase 2 is the one that causes us all the problems. </em>-I shan&amp;apos;t quote all of your response, because I agree with most of what you say, and indeed it echoes and illustrates the above schema. The difference between us is encapsulated in two statements of yours and one of David&amp;apos;s:-MATT: <em>As far as natural selection is concerned, <strong>it does not matter </strong>whether or not we know exactly how the bacteria did what it did.</em>-DAVID: <em>New genetics, same species. Microevolution, and it doesn&amp;apos;t prove macroevolution.</em>-MATT: <em>In the Dawkins view, your question gets pushed all the way back to abiogenesis...</em>-The crux of the matter is why we&amp;apos;re having this discussion at all, and my reason (David&amp;apos;s as well, I presume) is the issue of chance v. design, and hence the existence or non-existence of a designer. Do we believe that chance could assemble the ingredients for life (abiogenesis) and for the mechanisms of adaptation and innovation (micro and macro evolution) without which evolution could not take place? How these mechanisms function &amp;quot;doesn&amp;apos;t matter&amp;quot; for NS, and it &amp;quot;doesn&amp;apos;t matter&amp;quot; if you are only concerned with why evolution happens. It does matter if you are arguing for or against design. David has posted article after article, emphasizing the complexities and the still unsolved mysteries which for him reinforce the design argument. That is why the attempt to synonymize evolution and natural selection ... i.e. to exclude the huge questions raised by these mechanisms ... is not acceptable to anyone who takes evolution and the design issue seriously.-You have concluded by saying that unfortunately you &amp;quot;<em>will have to wait for biologists to answer these questions more completely</em>.&amp;quot; So will I. But they matter.</p>
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<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jan 2011 19:55:48 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><blockquote><p>MATT: <em>It&amp;apos;s in the language of biologists; an event that begins the process is called &amp;quot;selective pressure.&amp;quot; While the organism is under pressure, it must find a way to adapt, behaviourally or molecularly. </em>-&amp;apos;Selective pressure&amp;apos; is just another way of saying &amp;apos;natural selection&amp;apos;. As we now know environmental or other pressures cause epigenetic modifications which become inherited.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; At core, is selective pressure.  I understand evolution to be destructive as well as constructive;  selective pressure is the cause that moves an organism to continue to survive or become extinct.- Just another way of saying natural selection.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; We need to consider what Dawkins is saying here.  For natural selection to explain the &amp;quot;whole of life,&amp;quot; we need to define what it is that it is selecting <em>for</em>.  Ultimately we know that it is genes that are being selected for.  I will have to dig up the name of the experiment done in the 1980&amp;apos;s, but the experimenters deliberately knocked out a bacteria&amp;apos;s natural ability to digest lactose.  They then cultured these bacteria and reintroduced them into a lactose-rich media.  What ended up happening was that the bacteria appropriated machinery that performed some other function, and used that (inefficiently) to again be able to ingest lactose.  In this case the selective pressure was lactose, and the selection was for the new gene. -A very well-know study, new genetics, same species. Microevolultion, and it doesn&amp;apos;t prove macroevolution. &amp;#13;&amp;#10;  &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Modifying &amp;quot;what are we selecting for&amp;quot; the answer becomes clear:  Selective pressure operates against only the genetic material that came before that date.  The mechanism for change relies solely upon the collective history of the organism.  Natural Selection explains both why organisms live and die out, and why we have the diversity we have today.  Natural Selection works against existing genes to accomplish all of this. -Or works for the gene structure.- &gt; So I think your #2 above is answered as it can be.  In the Dawkins view, your question gets pushed all the way back to abiogenesis, because life is defined as a recursive function that consistently relies upon its prior states.  Explanations such as the exact mechanisms that created eyes or sex are seen as only filling in the details of what is explained by what I discussed above. -Agreed</p>
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<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jan 2011 05:20:04 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw, I really wish I could add diagrams to my posts here...&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; MATT: <em>It&amp;apos;s in the language of biologists; an event that begins the process is called &amp;quot;selective pressure.&amp;quot; While the organism is under pressure, it must find a way to adapt, behaviourally or molecularly. </em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; If an organism is already perfectly adapted, it doesn&amp;apos;t need to change. What you call &amp;quot;<em>adapt molecularly</em>&amp;quot; is the point at issue, because without that mechanism (plus the mechanism that produces innovations such as sex), there can be no evolution. What you have is therefore three stages, two of which speak for themselves: 1) if organisms don&amp;apos;t adapt to the conditions they will die (selective pressure); 2) some organisms adapt/change/innovate; 3) those that have changed appropriately survive (natural selection). Phase 2 is the one that causes us all the problems.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt;  -At core, is selective pressure.  I understand evolution to be destructive as well as constructive;  selective pressure is the cause that moves an organism to continue to survive or become extinct.-We need to consider what Dawkins is saying here.  For natural selection to explain the &amp;quot;whole of life,&amp;quot; we need to define what it is that it is selecting <em>for</em>.  Ultimately we know that it is genes that are being selected for.  I will have to dig up the name of the experiment done in the 1980&amp;apos;s, but the experimenters deliberately knocked out a bacteria&amp;apos;s natural ability to digest lactose.  They then cultured these bacteria and reintroduced them into a lactose-rich media.  What ended up happening was that the bacteria appropriated machinery that performed some other function, and used that (inefficiently) to again be able to ingest lactose.  In this case the selective pressure was lactose, and the selection was for the new gene.  -As far as natural selection is concerned, <em>it does not matter</em> whether or not we know exactly <em>how</em> the bacteria did what it did.  We know its beginning state, its end state, and that the mechanism of change was in co-opting a different gene.  -Modifying &amp;quot;what are we selecting for&amp;quot; the answer becomes clear:  Selective pressure operates against only the genetic material that came before that date.  The mechanism for change relies solely upon the collective history of the organism.  Natural Selection explains both why organisms live and die out, and why we have the diversity we have today.  Natural Selection works against existing genes to accomplish all of this.  I think this is complete as I can be in regards to the Dawkins/Pigliucci formulation, without stepping into their heads.  -So I think your #2 above is answered as it can be.  In the Dawkins view, your question gets pushed all the way back to abiogenesis, because life is defined as a recursive function that consistently relies upon its prior states.  Explanations such as the exact mechanisms that created eyes or sex are seen as only filling in the details of what is explained by what I discussed above.  -I agree that it&amp;apos;s the corner-cases that raise red flags.  I unfortunately will have to wait for biologists to answer these questions more completely.</p>
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<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jan 2011 04:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT: <em>I don&amp;apos;t see this is rewording evolution; natural selection is the process that culls organisms that were unable to respond to some change...&amp;quot;Natural selection is the process by which traits become more or less common in a population due to consistent effects upon the survival or reproduction of their bearers.&amp;quot; (Wikipedia) Traits becoming <strong>more or less common</strong>. In other words, evolution <strong>is</strong> natural selection. Without natural selection, we have no theory of evolution.</em>-You can&amp;apos;t have fish and chips without fish, but that doesn&amp;apos;t mean that fish <strong>is</strong> fish and chips! All the phases of evolution, of which NS is one, are interlinked. Why, then, did you look for a definition of natural selection (not a problem) and not for one of evolution? Here is the Encarta definition: &amp;quot;<em>the theoretical process by which all species develop from earlier forms of life</em>.&amp;quot; Longman: &amp;quot;<em>the scientific idea that plants and animals develop and change gradually over a long period of time</em>.&amp;quot; Chambers: &amp;quot;<em>the cumulative changes in the characteristics of living organisms or populations of organisms from generation to generation, resulting in the development of new types of organisms over long periods of time.</em>&amp;quot;  What is common to all these definitions is development and change, and these are not PRODUCED by natural selection but by adaptation and innovation. NS only preserves these changes and developments.-MATT: <em>It&amp;apos;s in the language of biologists; an event that begins the process is called &amp;quot;selective pressure.&amp;quot; While the organism is under pressure, it must find a way to adapt, behaviourally or molecularly. </em>-If an organism is already perfectly adapted, it doesn&amp;apos;t need to change. What you call &amp;quot;<em>adapt molecularly</em>&amp;quot; is the point at issue, because without that mechanism (plus the mechanism that produces innovations such as sex), there can be no evolution. What you have is therefore three stages, two of which speak for themselves: 1) if organisms don&amp;apos;t adapt to the conditions they will die (selective pressure); 2) some organisms adapt/change/innovate; 3) those that have changed appropriately survive (natural selection). Phase 2 is the one that causes us all the problems.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;MATT: <em>Therefore, since no change happens without selective pressure, natural selection explains the whole of why organisms change.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&amp;quot;Selective pressure&amp;quot; explains why organisms NEED to change, and NS explains why certain organisms survive and others don&amp;apos;t. Neither explains HOW organisms change. If the theory of evolution as defined above is true (I think it is, though &amp;quot;gradually&amp;quot; is a controversial description), we need to understand its physical mechanisms, which you seem to regard as somehow irrelevant. Evolution could not take place without them, and crucially for our discussions, it is their complexity (not the automatic process of NS) that underlies the dispute between theists and atheists, as I tried to explain in my post of 22 January at 10.21.</p>
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<pubDate>Sun, 23 Jan 2011 19:02:24 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>MATT: <em>I am in agreement that natural selection is generally a passive process. However I think we both might be arguing over semantics. If we agree that natural selection is the filter--then we really only care about what the output of the filter is.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; This is a new dimension to our discussions: who says the output is the only thing we really care about? You have missed the point of both the theist and the atheist agendas! So let me spell it out for you. The dispute is over whether the complexities of life&amp;apos;s physical mechanisms are too great to have arisen by chance. Natural selection is irrelevant to the design argument ... it&amp;apos;s a perfectly logical process whereby what survives is that which is most suited to survival (hence your 14 stages of horse). It would be unreasonable to deny this. By making out that evolution and NS are synonymous, the atheist can therefore argue that any questioning of evolution is unreasonable. What Dawkins calls &amp;quot;organized complexity&amp;quot; is not created by NS, but by mechanisms for replication, adaptation and innovation, without which evolution could not take place and Nature would have no variations to select from. These mechanisms have so far proved to be too complex for us to understand, let alone reproduce, and so theists claim that they have been designed. If you reject the possibility of design, you have no choice but to put your faith in the ability of chance to create the mechanisms ... but the idea of &amp;quot;faith in chance&amp;quot; is anathema to your atheist: hence the strategy of trying to make NS (which has no bearing on the design argument) synonymous with evolution. Ah Matt, what happened to my fellow sceptic&amp;apos;s scepticism?-lol... I always think &amp;quot;scepter&amp;quot; when I see the British spelling &amp;quot;sceptic.&amp;quot;-Remember;  I&amp;apos;m trying to offer arguments I remember coupled with what we&amp;apos;re reasoning about Dawkins&amp;apos; views--which again--I haven&amp;apos;t read.  -I don&amp;apos;t see this is rewording evolution;  natural selection is the process that culls organisms that were unable to respond to some change.  -&amp;quot;Natural selection is the process by which traits become more or less common in a population due to consistent effects upon the survival or reproduction of their bearers.&amp;quot;  (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_selection">Wikipedia</a>)-Traits becoming <em>more or less common.</em>  In other words, evolution <em>is</em> natural selection.  Without natural selection, we have no theory of evolution.-It&amp;apos;s in the language of biologists;  an event that begins the process is called &amp;quot;selective pressure.&amp;quot;  While the organism is under pressure, it must find a way to adapt, behaviourally or molecularly.  From beginning to end, &amp;quot;Natural Selection&amp;quot; is the process by which the organism moves from its original state to some state in the future. Rereading some sections of some of my books, I&amp;apos;m less inclined now to agree that natural selection is passive.  -You are arguing I think, that the actual changes that an organism undergoes is a separate issue from that of natural selection, however, an organism must be under pressure of selection before it can perform the process of changing.  -Therefore, since no change happens without selective pressure, natural selection explains the whole of why organisms change.  -My attachment here is:  Only at a very high and unrefined level.  We&amp;apos;re still not at the stage of knowledge yet.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 22 Jan 2011 19:01:33 +0000</pubDate>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>MATT: <em>I am in agreement that natural selection is generally a passive process. However I think we both might be arguing over semantics. If we agree that natural selection is the filter--then we really only care about what the output of the filter is.</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; This is a new dimension to our discussions: who says the output is the only thing we really care about? You have missed the point of both the theist and the atheist agendas! So let me spell it out for you. The dispute is over whether the complexities of life&amp;apos;s physical mechanisms are too great to have arisen by chance. Natural selection is irrelevant to the design argument ... it&amp;apos;s a perfectly logical process whereby what survives is that which is most suited to survival (hence your 14 stages of horse). It would be unreasonable to deny this. By making out that evolution and NS are synonymous, the atheist can therefore argue that any questioning of evolution is unreasonable. What Dawkins calls &amp;quot;organized complexity&amp;quot; is not created by NS, but by mechanisms for replication, adaptation and innovation, without which evolution could not take place and Nature would have no variations to select from. These mechanisms have so far proved to be too complex for us to understand, let alone reproduce, and so theists claim that they have been designed. If you reject the possibility of design, you have no choice but to put your faith in the ability of chance to create the mechanisms ... but the idea of &amp;quot;faith in chance&amp;quot; is anathema to your atheist: hence the strategy of trying to make NS (which has no bearing on the design argument) synonymous with evolution. Ah Matt, what happened to my fellow sceptic&amp;apos;s scepticism?-The commentary above needs to be repeated over and over. It is the very clearest summary I&amp;apos;ve seen of the debating points between design and atheism.-That said, the use of the horse example is of especial interest: note that the horse has been bred back down to original size. This means the coding for advancing evolution is present in the final form of an organism, and can be reversed by selective breeding back to the beginning. This suggests to me that an argument can be made that the code for advancing evolution is present from the beginning of evolution, since the morphogenic pattern controls in the genome are fully maintained going forward or backwards.</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 22 Jan 2011 15:03:05 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT: <em>I am in agreement that natural selection is generally a passive process. However I think we both might be arguing over semantics. If we agree that natural selection is the filter--then we really only care about what the output of the filter is.</em>-This is a new dimension to our discussions: who says the output is the only thing we really care about? You have missed the point of both the theist and the atheist agendas! So let me spell it out for you. The dispute is over whether the complexities of life&amp;apos;s physical mechanisms are too great to have arisen by chance. Natural selection is irrelevant to the design argument ... it&amp;apos;s a perfectly logical process whereby what survives is that which is most suited to survival (hence your 14 stages of horse). It would be unreasonable to deny this. By making out that evolution and NS are synonymous, the atheist can therefore argue that any questioning of evolution is unreasonable. What Dawkins calls &amp;quot;organized complexity&amp;quot; is not created by NS, but by mechanisms for replication, adaptation and innovation, without which evolution could not take place and Nature would have no variations to select from. These mechanisms have so far proved to be too complex for us to understand, let alone reproduce, and so theists claim that they have been designed. If you reject the possibility of design, you have no choice but to put your faith in the ability of chance to create the mechanisms ... but the idea of &amp;quot;faith in chance&amp;quot; is anathema to your atheist: hence the strategy of trying to make NS (which has no bearing on the design argument) synonymous with evolution. Ah Matt, what happened to my fellow sceptic&amp;apos;s scepticism?</p>
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<pubDate>Sat, 22 Jan 2011 10:21:39 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dhw; -I am in agreement that natural selection is generally a passive process.  However I think we both might be arguing over semantics.  if we agree that natural selection is the filter--then we really only care about what the output of the filter is.  -Input:  organism&amp;#13;&amp;#10;Output:  organism that passed through natural selection.-When I learned biology, I learned that natural selection encompasses changing environments, organisms moving to new environments, and competition over resources or species.-So according to theory, organisms only undergo changes under stimuli to change.-What we call a horse now, we have 14 snapshots of its development.  In what I learned, while natural selection is not the organism changing itself, its the conditions that put the organism into that situation--the cause.  If we can agree on something here we can dive into Dawkins&amp;apos; mind regarding his inference (as best I can.)</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2011 14:14:15 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT assumes that that the explanation for each specimen of horse &amp;quot;<em>was that it was under pressure of natural selection to reach the form it took.</em>&amp;quot;-Straight away, you link the changes in form to natural selection, but NS does not change the form of any creature. The pressure may have been exerted by changes in the environment, and certainly those specimens that adapted best survived, but NS ONLY accounts for their survival ... not for the ability to adapt, let alone to innovate.&amp;#13;&amp;#10; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;MATT: <em>When you compare this explanation versus any others concerning how life has taken the form it does today--I find it a pretty convincing argument. So at this point generalizing to all of life is a natural next step. (Epistemology aside.) Evolution and natural selection are seen as synonymous...</em>-Stop there, because this is the point at issue. Evolution would be impossible without adaptation and innovation, which provide the diversification from which Nature selects. Maybe these mechanisms are interlinked ... maybe environmental pressures actually cause innovations, or maybe they&amp;apos;re caused by accidental mutations, or maybe cells have an inventive intelligence of their own (David thinks they have been programmed by a UI). No-one would claim that NS itself requires design ... it is a straightforward process which, as David says, is basically a tautology: whatever survives is suited to survival. But it is these all-important mechanisms that enable evolution to move on. Stating this fact is not a denial of evolution; it is a criticism of those who try to oversimplify the process by kidding themselves and others that NS explains &amp;quot;<em>the whole of life&amp;quot;.</em> -The complete sentence in Dawkins (<em>The God Delusion</em>, p. 116) reads: &amp;quot;<em>Natural selection not only explains the whole of life; it also raises our consciousness to the power of science to explain how organized complexity can emerge from simple beginnings without any deliberate guidance</em>.&amp;quot;-Simplicity is relative. We still haven&amp;apos;t figured out how these so-called &amp;quot;<em>simple beginnings</em>&amp;quot; began (the origin of life). And if you can explain to me how natural selection PRODUCES ... as opposed to PRESERVES ... adaptations and innovations (organized complexity), I will jump off my fence.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2011 12:28:23 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>MATT: <em>Evolution is this case (Dawkins) is inference based on evidence. You tripped into my &amp;quot;inference is not knowledge&amp;quot; dogma once again...(Just trying to point out instances where your thinking parallels my own skepticism...I still don&amp;apos;t think we&amp;apos;re that different...)</em>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Evolution and NS are not synonymous (see below), and I think you&amp;apos;re being kind to Dawkins, who says that NS &amp;quot;<em>explains the whole of life</em>&amp;quot;, which to my mind is not even an inference, let alone based on evidence. But I agree that inference is not knowledge, I do share your scepticism (even if I insist on spelling it the English way!), and we&amp;apos;re not that different. On the epistemological thread, I&amp;apos;m confident we shall eventually come to an understanding, but the difference between us is that I tend to think more concretely than you do. On this thread, relating to evolution, both of us &amp;quot;accept&amp;quot; the basic theory, but there is one major difference between us, which is your focus on NS at the expense of adaptation and innovation. As far as the consciousness thread is concerned, I&amp;apos;m far more open to speculation than you are, but the reasons for that may perhaps come out later in our epistemological discussion.-Again, not having read any Dawkins--but having been a full-blown atheist previously--I assume that he for example, looks at the evidence of horse evolution, cut across about 14 skeletons at the Smithsonian, and concludes that there was a progression from horse 1 to horse 14;  and that the explanation for each specimen was that it was under pressure of natural selection to reach the form it took.  -When you look at palentological evidence at large, a similar story is told for many creatures.  When you look at bacterial resistance, this is evidence on a micro scale for macro change.  -I gloss over some details, but this is a fair representation of  what I identify forms the whole of atheist ideology concerning evolution. -When you compare this explanation versus any others concerning how life has taken the form it does today--I find it a pretty convincing argument.  So at this point generalizing to all of life is a natural next step.  (Epistemology aside.)  -Evolution and natural selection are seen as synonymous, but to writers (such as Massimo Pigliucci) he makes a distinction between what evolution was to Darwin compared to what evolution is to Evolutionary biologists today.  Natural selection still plays a firm role.  I don&amp;apos;t have the time to read his book again, but the book &amp;quot;Denying Evolution&amp;quot; covers a great many of the objections you raise here, and at least offers a modern view on the current state of evolutionary biology.  He does cover Gould, but in his view Gould still doesn&amp;apos;t displace Natural Selection, only modifies it.  He does tackle things such as the eye.  It&amp;apos;s just been about 6 years since I&amp;apos;ve read it and I do not recall his arguments around that.-If you&amp;apos;re interested I suppose I could go dig up the relevant material and post it.</p>
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<pubDate>Thu, 20 Jan 2011 02:58:50 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MATT: <em>Evolution is this case (Dawkins) is inference based on evidence. You tripped into my &amp;quot;inference is not knowledge&amp;quot; dogma once again...(Just trying to point out instances where your thinking parallels my own skepticism...I still don&amp;apos;t think we&amp;apos;re that different...)</em>-Evolution and NS are not synonymous (see below), and I think you&amp;apos;re being kind to Dawkins, who says that NS &amp;quot;<em>explains the whole of life</em>&amp;quot;, which to my mind is not even an inference, let alone based on evidence. But I agree that inference is not knowledge, I do share your scepticism (even if I insist on spelling it the English way!), and we&amp;apos;re not that different. On the epistemological thread, I&amp;apos;m confident we shall eventually come to an understanding, but the difference between us is that I tend to think more concretely than you do. On this thread, relating to evolution, both of us &amp;quot;accept&amp;quot; the basic theory, but there is one major difference between us, which is your focus on NS at the expense of adaptation and innovation. As far as the consciousness thread is concerned, I&amp;apos;m far more open to speculation than you are, but the reasons for that may perhaps come out later in our epistemological discussion.</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5692</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5692</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 12:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>dhw</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; In your book do you clearly delineate between Gould and Darwin?  Because though I ran the simulation program myself, it was textbook stuff for me in undergrad.  When I hear someone attacking &amp;quot;darwinism&amp;quot; (even though I know you don&amp;apos;t mean it this way) to me it always means evolution writ large;  I never went beyond the chemical levels, but it seems to me that Gould just filled in some gaps but admitted he didn&amp;apos;t have any evidence...-I clearly described Gould and Eldridge&amp;apos;s idea of punctuated  equilibrium as some thing quite different.</p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 05:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>David Turell</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dhw&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Of greater importance is that the genomic researchers have no idea why one series of amino acids is functional and when altered is not. It appears that most mutations lab-created are deleterious. Lab research trying to mimic evolution doesn&amp;apos;t work. With 20 amino acids that are essential, available, and all used in various sequences, and with functional segments using 100 amino acids or more, the odds (according to one reviewer) are 10^170 against finding a new functional segment de novo.[/i]&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Many thanks for this comprehensive answer. In so many discussions, I find it galling that scientists continue to talk of evolution by natural selection, as if adaptation and innovation ... without which there would be no diversification and nothing to select from ... could be taken for granted. This is a linguistic device used, among others, by Dawkins, who claims that NS &amp;quot;<em>explains the whole of life</em>&amp;quot;. It sounds as if epigenetics may account for adaptations(though giving something a name does not make it any the less complex or mysterious), but innovations and speciation remain a puzzle, unless we swallow the somewhat indigestible random mutations theory.-Evolution in this case (Dawkins) is inference based on evidence.  You tripped into my &amp;quot;inference is not knowledge&amp;quot; dogma once again... (Just trying to point out instances where your thinking parallel&amp;apos;s my own skepticism... I still don&amp;apos;t think we&amp;apos;re that different....)</p>
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<link>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5686</link>
<guid>https://agnosticweb.com/index.php?id=5686</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 02:13:29 +0000</pubDate>
<category>General</category><dc:creator>xeno6696</dc:creator>
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<title>Inference and its role in NS (reply)</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><blockquote><p>&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &gt; David seems to see epigenetics as the answer ... certainly a more satisfactory solution than chance mutations ... but is there any evidence that epigenetic changes (a) produce new organs, (b) produce new species, and (c) are anything but short-term? (This is a genuine question, not a criticism.)&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; The best example I&amp;apos;ve seen is Reznick&amp;apos;s study of guppies. Small guppies changed their size when presented to danger in a two year period, rapid by any theory. Large guppies did the same. Small to large, large to small. Same species but an &amp;apos;immediate&amp;apos; adaptation. Does a series of &amp;apos;dangers&amp;apos; or challenges finally cause  the epigenetic &amp;apos;rapid response team&amp;apos; genetics to drive the species to a new species? That is the 64 dollar question. Current research is looking at methods of rapid change, methylation, recombination,etc., not requiring mutation. These seem to cause only small adaptations, not a jump in species type. I&amp;apos;m not aware of other Reznick-like studies.&amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; &amp;#13;&amp;#10;&gt; Of greater importance is that the genomic researchers have no idea why one series of amino acids is functional and when altered is not. It appears that most mutations lab-created are deleterious. Lab research trying to mimic evolution doesn&amp;apos;t work. With 20 amino acids that are essential, available,and all used in various sequences, and with functional segments using 100 amino acids or more, the odds (according to one reviewer) are 10^170 against finding a new functional segment de novo.-Like I said... if we&amp;apos;re going to crack this nut we really need to take an approach that doesn&amp;apos;t try to mimic life&amp;apos;s conditions until we know that we can create it in a test tube with ANY material, reagent, etc...</p>
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<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 02:10:51 +0000</pubDate>
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