An Agnostic Manifesto (Agnosticism)

by George Jelliss ⌂ @, Crewe, Friday, August 06, 2010, 20:16 (5005 days ago)

Ron Rosenbaum on Slate has published "An Agnostic Manifesto"-http://www.slate.com/id/2258484/pagenum/all/-It has already had a lot of commentary. -It is also on the New Humanist blog with lots of comments:-http://blog.newhumanist.org.uk/2010/08/is-agnosticism-only-sensible-choice.html-I wonder how far dhw would endorse this Manifesto?

--
GPJ

An Agnostic Manifesto

by David Turell @, Saturday, August 07, 2010, 03:18 (5004 days ago) @ George Jelliss

Ron Rosenbaum on Slate has published "An Agnostic Manifesto"
> 
> http://www.slate.com/id/2258484/pagenum/all/
> 
> It has already had a lot of commentary. 
> 
> It is also on the New Humanist blog with lots of comments:
> 
> http://blog.newhumanist.org.uk/2010/08/is-agnosticism-only-sensible-choice.html&#13... 
> I wonder how far dhw would endorse this Manifesto?-I think it is a fabulous commentary, strongly reasoned.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by dhw, Saturday, August 07, 2010, 12:12 (5004 days ago) @ George Jelliss

George has drawn our attention to Ron Rosenbaum's Agnostic Manifesto, and wonders how far I would endorse it. Probably about 90%. The remaining 10% boils down to generalization and the inadequacies of language, so that's what I'll dwell on here.-ROSENBAUM: Atheists display a credulous and childlike faith [...] that they can or will be able to explain how and why the universe came into existence. -When this website opened, I was quite rightly taken to task for such generalizations, and quickly learned that, as with theism, there are many degrees and kinds of atheism and agnosticism. Rosenbaum's statement is true of some atheists ... very often the most strident and aggressive ... but it is perfectly possible for someone to be convinced that there is no such thing as God (= atheism), and at the same time to acknowledge that science does not have all the answers and may never have them. There is a myth about Eskimos having scores of different words for 'snow', but that is what we really need for atheism and agnosticism (whereas theism does have a vast range of terms to cover its different forms).-Rosenbaum takes up Wilkins' suggestion that agnosticism is concerned with just two questions: whether God exists or not, and whether we can know the answer, and he talks of "the courage to admit we don't know and may never know what we don't know." Although he says this is "complicated", in my view it's an over-simplification, but perhaps again this is a matter of language. A common definition of agnosticism is "the belief that it is impossible to know whether God exists or not", but in epistemological terms, this would make us all agnostics. Even Dawkins admits he doesn't "know". Whether you are a theist or an atheist, you have taken your decision on grounds of probability (weighing up the evidence), of inner conviction, of upbringing, of personal experience etc. It would be absurd to talk of these grounds as "knowledge", since every one of them is geared to subjectivity. And so I would argue that agnosticism is equally geared to subjectivity: we weigh up the same evidence, but find it too inconclusive to make a decision; we have no inner conviction and have had no personal experience to create one; our upbringing has not planted any enduring faith. It is therefore not a matter of "whether we can know the answer" ... no-one can ... but whether we can reach a subjective decision. This argument has two ramifications: firstly, it emphasizes the subjective component of both theism and atheism, and secondly it demands a new definition of agnosticism (or a new term) as an inability to believe that God exists or does not exist. -Rosenbaum praises "the less eye-catching attractions" of agnostic humility, and says: "Humility in the face of mystery has been a recurrent theme of mine." This doesn't quite fit in with "Cue James Brown chords: Say it loud! We're agnostic and proud!" and I would hate to think of agnostics turning as aggressive as the fundamentalists on each side of the divide. Humility should extend to tolerance of other people's decisions, so long as these do not in themselves lead to intolerance. I would have liked at least a suggestion of this in the Manifesto. But otherwise, I would endorse it with enthusiasm. Once more, my thanks to George for yet another extremely stimulating reference. It would be interesting to know, George, how far you yourself would endorse it.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by David Turell @, Saturday, August 07, 2010, 17:20 (5004 days ago) @ dhw


> Rosenbaum's statement is true of some atheists ... very often the most strident and aggressive ... but it is perfectly possible for someone to be convinced that there is no such thing as God (= atheism), and at the same time to acknowledge that science does not have all the answers and may never have them. 
> 
> Rosenbaum takes up Wilkins' suggestion that agnosticism is concerned with just two questions: whether God exists or not, and whether we can know the answer, and he talks of "the courage to admit we don't know and may never know what we don't know." Although he says this is "complicated", in my view it's an over-simplification, but perhaps again this is a matter of language. A common definition of agnosticism is "the belief that it is impossible to know whether God exists or not",-All of this is taken care of by Godel's Incompleteness Theorem, baasically, we can never prove everything. So I go back to Adler: proof beyond a reasonable doubt. Agnostics will not choose atheism or theism unless there is absolute proof and that is impossible. Agnosticism is therefore an emotional choice, recognizing that since there are no absolutes, they will stay content with never knowing. If they can comfortable with that, fine. Both atheists and theists are satisfied with their choices, even though both are based on faith, pure and simple. George must admit that both of us are equals, following belief systems we have chosen. Both systems are reasonable, in the view that proof is impossible.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by dhw, Sunday, August 08, 2010, 12:09 (5003 days ago) @ David Turell

I quoted but argued against the common definition of agnosticism as "the belief that it is impossible to know whether God exists or not". David has followed this up with the statement that "agnostics will not choose atheism or theism unless there is absolute proof and that is impossible. Agnosticism is therefore an emotional choice, recognizing that since there are no absolutes, they will stay content with never knowing."-In my post, I tried to explain why I rejected the common definition. No-one can "know" such a thing, and so everyone would have to be agnostic. All of us ... theists, atheists and agnostics ... recognize that there can be no absolute proof, and my point was that our choices are therefore dependent on subjective factors (judgement of the evidence, personal experiences, inner convictions, upbringing etc.). These will vary just as much in agnostics as they do in theists and atheists, and David's comment seems to me to be far too generalized. He claims that he and George both follow belief systems that are "reasonable, in the view that proof is impossible." In my own case, there is an intellectual conflict between two irreconcilable factors: 1) the complexity of life is so great that I find it unreasonable to believe that it came about by chance; 2) I find it equally unreasonable to believe in a universal intelligence / designer that sprang from nothing or has existed for ever. "Unreasonable" does not mean that I require absolute proof either way, and there is nothing "emotional" in this conflict. However, other factors also play a part in my indecisiveness: I do not have an emotional conviction that there is a divine being watching over us; I do have an emotional and intellectual open-mindedness towards inexplicable mental phenomena which could indicate a form of life as yet unknown to us. And so in the same way that belief in God or Chance takes on different forms according to the individual's subjective judgement of probability, or personal experiences and convictions, these factors will vary in degree and kind from one agnostic to another. Matt, for instance, is far more sceptical than I am about the design theory. I would therefore reject the "absolute proof" argument, the restrictive tag of "emotional choice", and also the claim that agnostics "stay content with never knowing", since there are certainly some agnostics who are not content with their ignorance and continue to search for enlightenment. -In my post, I suggested a different definition of agnosticism: "an inability to believe that God exists or does not exist." On reflection, I think maybe "inability" could be taken as a criticism ... though there's nothing wrong with a bit of self-criticism! How about: "neither belief nor disbelief in the existence of a god or gods"? Any other definitions would be welcome, or suggestions for a new term to denote the form of non-belief that I have described.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by George Jelliss ⌂ @, Crewe, Sunday, August 08, 2010, 14:18 (5003 days ago) @ dhw

dhw asks how far I would endorse Rosenbaum's "Agnostic Manifesto"
The answer is: very little, but I will go into more detail.-In his subtitle he claims "At least we know what we don't know."
This sounds clever but means very little. There may well be lots of 
things out there in the universe or even within the world of thought 
that we don't know about, and that we don't know that we don't know 
about. Who knew about quantisation of energy before Planck found it 
necessary to postulate to explain black-body radiation? Who knew 
about the fantastic geysers on one of the moons of Saturn before they 
were photographed by the Cassini probe?-He says "Agnosticism ... is radical skepticism, doubt in the possibility 
of certainty." This doesn't strike me as being very "radical" it's just 
the normal mind-set of a rational person. There is very little about 
which one can be certain, except perhaps 2+2=4, but 17+25=42 I would 
be less certain about without checking the calculation. -He next tries defining "Agnostics" as "doubters of religious belief". 
But there are all sorts of religious belief, so such agnosticism is
far too vague. -He then advocates "a new agnosticism", one that sees "atheism as 
much a faith-based creed as the most orthodox of the religious 
variety." Well, if there are such atheists, as an atheist myself I 
would be just as much against them as I am against dogmatic theists, 
but I doubt if they exist in any force worth bothering about.-He claims that such atheists have "the certainty that they can or 
will be able to explain how and why the universe came into existence." 
This assumes an enormous amount. That "universe" has a clear meaning. 
That "coming into existence" means something.-Here he is now narrowing down the scope of his agnosticism considerably. 
He claims that "the fundamental question" is: "Why is there something 
rather than nothing?". These atheists apparently "seem never to 
consider that it may well be a philosophic, logical impossibility for 
something to create itself from nothing" and fail to realise that this 
question is "a fundamental mystery". -He cites theories of multiverses and fluctuations in the vacuum but 
considers none of them "persuasive", but are these theories actually 
aimed at answering his fundamental question? I think not. -Oh dear! He has been on a Templeton-Cambridge Fellowship! No wonder 
his mind is so befogged! -He accepts "most of the New Atheist's criticism of religious bad 
behavior over the centuries, and of theology itself." So that surely 
makes him an atheist.-He just doesn't "accept turning science into a new religion". Well 
neither do I nor do any of the New Atheists that I've read. -He challenges any atheist to send him their answer to the question: 
"Why is there something rather than nothing?" Well I would ask him to 
clarify what he means by these terms. Does "something" mean a material 
something having mass? Is "nothing" something?-He maintains that agnostics "aren't disguised creationists". 
Well, it was because of the creationist tendencies that I noticed in dhw's 
tract that brought me here in the first place.-He cites Huxley's original definition of agnosticism: "... it is wrong 
for a man to say that he is certain of the objective truth of any 
proposition unless he can produce evidence which logically justifies 
that certainty". This is posed in terms of Aristotelian binary logic. 
This should now be replaced by probabilistic evaluations. As I've noted 
above absolute certainty is impossoble. However reasonable certainty 
can be attained, and as Huxley says it depends on providing adequate 
evidence, and I would add clear definitions.-He asks for "Humility in the face of mystery". But I would ask for 
humility in the face of lack of evidence. If there is a mystery we 
should try our darndest to solve it, seek out the evidence with a 
forceful determined attitude.
 
He mentions "the problem of consciousness" and allies himself with 
the "Mysterians" who argue that we cannot know the nature of 
consciousness while being within consciousness. As you will be aware 
I consider this "problem of consciousness" to be overblown, but that 
is a question we have discussed elsewhere.

--
GPJ

An Agnostic Manifesto

by David Turell @, Sunday, August 08, 2010, 23:32 (5002 days ago) @ George Jelliss

He challenges any atheist to send him their answer to the question: 
> "Why is there something rather than nothing?" Well I would ask him to 
> clarify what he means by these terms. Does "something" mean a material 
> something having mass? Is "nothing" something?-George's review of the Manifesto is quite thorough and complete from his point of view. However I consider the above comment as rather offhand. Proposed by Leibnitz over three centuries ago, it lies at the philosophic core of our discussion on this website. We've discussed Stenger's weird interpretation of 'nothing' before. The underlying question does not need word definition.
> 
> He asks for "Humility in the face of mystery". But I would ask for 
> humility in the face of lack of evidence. If there is a mystery we 
> should try our darndest to solve it, seek out the evidence with a 
> forceful determined attitude.-Yes, we should go as far as far as science will take us. But then there the wall of Godel's Uncertainty Principle. We can never know 'everything'. There is therefore a choice, a 'leap of faith' or no leap. Each of us chooses.
> 
> He mentions "the problem of consciousness" and allies himself with 
> the "Mysterians" who argue that we cannot know the nature of 
> consciousness while being within consciousness. As you will be aware 
> I consider this "problem of consciousness" to be overblown, but that 
> is a question we have discussed elsewhere.-Quite right. I am miles apart from George here.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by dhw, Monday, August 09, 2010, 10:00 (5002 days ago) @ George Jelliss

I asked George how far he would endorse Ron Rosenbaum's Agnostic Manifesto, and he has posted an interesting critique, much of which I agree with. There are, though, a number of points that I would like to comment on.-Rosenbaum considers atheism to be "as much a faith-based creed as the most orthodox of the religious variety", but George doubts if such atheists "exist in any force worth bothering about." The word "faith" seems to be anathema to many atheists, but to utterly discount the design theory, you have to believe that the mechanisms of life and heredity fashioned themselves by chance, and that requires faith in the unconscious forces of Nature to create something that still defies the conscious intelligence of our most brilliant scientists. -In Rosenbaum's eyes, another form of faith is atheists' "certainty that they can or will be able to explain how and why the universe came into existence." I have criticized this claim myself, as I don't think atheism requires any such certainty, but to my surprise your response is quite different: "This assumes an enormous amount. That 'universe' has a clear meaning. That 'coming into existence' means something." We have been discussing the origin of the universe for months, under The Big Bang and other threads ...most recently in relation to the new Shu theory and the chameleon theory. You didn't seem to have any problem understanding the terms then. What's the problem now?-GEORGE: He accepts "most of the New Atheist's criticism of religious bad behavior over the centuries, and of theology itself". So that surely makes him an atheist.-Of course it doesn't. Even religious bodies have criticized their own bad behaviour over the centuries, and theological controversy rarely takes a break. At the moment the church itself is split over issues like homosexuality and the ordination of women. If the Archbishop of Canterbury criticizes religious crimes from the Inquisition through to modern fundamentalist terrorism, does that make him an atheist? -Rosenbaum maintains, quite rightly, that agnostics "aren't disguised creationists".
GEORGE: Well, it was because of the creationist tendencies that I noticed in dhw's tract that brought me here in the first place.
 
I'm delighted that your misunderstanding of my text brought you here, and even more delighted that you have stayed. However, it is a very common ploy among atheists to attack those who question their faith in Chance by tainting the questioner with creationism. That is a useful cover for the weakness of their own position.-Rosenbaum quotes Huxley on the subject of certainty.
GEORGE: [...] absolute certainty is impossible. However reasonable certainty can be obtained, and as Huxley says it depends on providing adequate evidence, and I would add clear definitions.-"Adequate" in whose eyes? How reasonable is "reasonable"? Who provides the criteria? I agree with you about clear definitions, but the very fact that there is absolutely no consensus on the existence or non-existence of God suggests to me that reasonable certainty cannot be obtained.-GEORGE: I would ask for humility in the face of lack of evidence.-So would I. Until the mysteries have been solved, why should anyone insist that there is/isn't a God, that other people's explanations are nonsense, and those who disagree with one's own subjective opinions are stupid/ ignorant/ to be ridiculed/ to be assassinated?-GEORGE: I consider this "problem of consciousness" to be overblown, but that is a question we have discussed elsewhere.-We have indeed, and you believe that consciousness can be attributed entirely to material sources within the brain. Despite the present lack of evidence, you have faith that science will eventually provide a complete explanation of how these materials work. You may be right. But until we have that evidence, you can hardly dispute Rosenbaum's claim that atheism is faith-based.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by George Jelliss ⌂ @, Crewe, Tuesday, August 10, 2010, 23:35 (5000 days ago) @ dhw

Rosenbaum considers atheism to be "as much a faith-based creed as the most orthodox of the religious variety", but George doubts if such atheists "exist in any force worth bothering about." The word "faith" seems to be anathema to many atheists, but to utterly discount the design theory, you have to believe that the mechanisms of life and heredity fashioned themselves by chance, and that requires faith in the unconscious forces of Nature to create something that still defies the conscious intelligence of our most brilliant scientists. 
>-To believe that life and heredity were fashioned by chance and natural processes does not require faith, it is apparent from the evidence. Because the exact mechanisms are not known and have not yet been reproduced synthetically is irrelevant. To suppose that there was some sort of supernatural intervention in the process is what requires faith.-> We have been discussing the origin of the universe for months, under The Big Bang and other threads ...most recently in relation to the new Shu theory and the chameleon theory. You didn't seem to have any problem understanding the terms then. What's the problem now?
>-Rosenbaum raises it as a problem in philosophy not physics.-> GEORGE: He accepts "most of the New Atheist's criticism of religious bad behavior over the centuries, and of theology itself". So that surely makes him an atheist.-Of course it doesn't. 
>-The New Atheists maintain that theology is a vacuous subject. I don't think the Abp agrees.-> the very fact that there is absolutely no consensus on the existence or non-existence of God suggests to me that reasonable certainty cannot be obtained.
>-There is pretty general consensus that Thor and Eros don't exist except as personifications of natural forces. So why can we not also come to the same conclusions about Jehovah and Vishnu?

--
GPJ

An Agnostic Manifesto

by dhw, Thursday, August 12, 2010, 14:36 (4999 days ago) @ George Jelliss

GEORGE: To believe that life and heredity were fashioned by chance and natural processes does not require faith, it is apparent from the evidence. Because the exact mechanisms are not known and have not yet been reproduced synthetically is irrelevant. To suppose that there was some sort of supernatural intervention in the process is what requires faith.-Exact mechanisms....not yet been reproduced...George, you are a master of subtly misleading nuances. I'm surprised that our ignorance of the mechanisms and our inability to reproduce them should be regarded as irrelevant. I'd say it's precisely because of our ignorance that belief requires faith. However, congratulations on your discovery of evidence that chance is capable of assembling these mind-bogglingly complex mechanisms (even though we are not). This should be reported at once to the Nobel committee. Meanwhile, you are quite right that belief in supernatural intervention requires faith. I don't see the relevance of that to your own creed.-Rosenbaum says (erroneously in my view) that atheists are certain they will be able to explain how and why the universe came into existence. George doesn't understand what he means by "universe" or "came into existence" because R. "raises it as a problem in philosophy not physics". Why does the origin of the universe become an incomprehensible term in a philosophical context? In any case, what makes you think he is using "how" (and even "why") philosophically? I took this as a reference to the whole process of cause and effect.-Rosenbaum accepts most of New Atheism's criticism of religious bad behaviour over the centuries, and of theology. George thinks that makes him an atheist. I have pointed out that even religious bodies have criticized their own bad behaviour and can't agree on many theological issues. 
GEORGE: The New Atheists maintain that theology is a vacuous subject. 
Rosenbaum said that as an agnostic he accepts " MOST of the New Atheist's criticism". Maybe he wouldn't go so far as to accept "vacuous". Only he can tell us. But his acceptance of the rest still doesn't make him an atheist.-GEORGE: There is pretty general consensus that Thor and Eros don't exist except as personifications of natural forces. So why can we not also come to the same conclusions about Jehovah and Vishnu?-You wrote this in response to my claim that "reasonable" certainty cannot be attained as regards the existence or non-existence of God, since there is no consensus. As an atheist, you believe that Jehovah / Vishnu do not exist; Jews and Hindus believe that they do. I can't answer your question, but the very fact that you ask it confirms that there is no such thing as reasonable certainty on the subject.

An Agnostic Manifesto

by George Jelliss ⌂ @, Crewe, Thursday, August 12, 2010, 18:02 (4999 days ago) @ dhw

There are and have been many cases in science where the exact mechanisms for some phenomenon have been unknown, and where it has not been reproducible in the laboratory, but it does not require faith to think that a material explanation was there to be found. An example might be the chemistry of photosynthesis. The chemistry of life is a similar question.-Rosenbaum wants to know how or whether something can come from nothing. If the question was one of physics I could refer him to Stenger, who explains how material particles like fermions and bosons can emerge from "quantum fluctuations in the void". But this physical void is not I suspect what Rosenbaum means by "nothing". He is referring to a philosophical nothingness. What does he mean in saying that "something" exists? To me existence is shown by something being detectable by the human senses. It follows that "nothing", being undetectable, cannot exist.
 
dhw claimed "that reasonable certainty cannot be attained as regards the existence or non-existence of God, since there is no consensus". It would help of course if he defined what he means by "God" here. I pointed out that in the case of specific named gods, "There is pretty general consensus that Thor and Eros don't exist except as personifications of natural forces. So why can we not also come to the same conclusions about Jehovah and Vishnu?". dhw responds that Jehovah and Vishnu exist because Jews and Hindus believe that they do. I'm afraid this is woefully insufficient to prove "existence", other than as ideas that people have.

--
GPJ

An Agnostic Manifesto

by dhw, Thursday, August 12, 2010, 22:37 (4998 days ago) @ George Jelliss

GEORGE: There are and have been many cases in science where the exact mechanisms for some phenomenon have been unknown, and where it has not been reproducible in the laboratory, but it does not require faith to think that a material explanation was there to be found. An example might be the chemistry of photosynthesis. The chemistry of life is a similar question.-An excellent observation, if I may say so, but not quite in line with the point which is in dispute. The chemistry of life is obviously material since all living things are material, and so there has to be a material explanation. The question we are discussing is whether we believe these immensely complex material mechanisms could have assembled themselves by chance, and I don't see why you should think our ignorance has no bearing on our judgement of the odds. If, for instance, scientists were to hit on the formula and were able to show that under certain conditions the necessary combination of materials would spontaneously form itself without their intervention, you would have the evidence you need. They haven't, and you don't. But you have faith that one day they will, or perhaps you don't need such evidence because your faith in chance is already rock solid.
 
GEORGE: Rosenbaum wants to know how or whether something can come from nothing. If the question was one of physics I could refer him to Stenger, who explains how material particles like fermions and bosons can emerge from "quantum fluctuations in the void". But this physical void is not I suspect what Rosenbaum means by "nothing". He is referring to a philosophical nothingness. What does he mean in saying that "something" exists? To me existence is shown by something being detectable by the human senses. It follows that "nothing", being undetectable, cannot exist.-Another misdirected observation. I did not even refer to Rosenbaum's question of why there is something rather than nothing. I quoted (and disagreed with) the passage in which he says atheists worship "the certainty that they can or will be able to explain how and why the universe came into existence". You responded: "This assumes an enormous amount. That 'universe' has a clear meaning. That 'coming into existence' means something." I did not and still do not understand why the words are so difficult for you. However, on the something/nothing topic, R. simply puts the agnostic view that no-one knows how the universe (a material "something") came into being. Some atheists believe that there was nothing before the Big Bang (I assume that's what he's referring to, and you may recall that during our discussions I too found this inconceivable) ... and he puts that "on the same superstitious plane" as Thomas Aquinas's belief that the universe was created "ex nihilo" by a Supreme Being outside of time and space. Straightforward agnostic scepticism towards both theories concerning the origin of the universe.-GEORGE: dhw claimed "that reasonable certainty cannot be attained as regards the existence or non-existence of God, since there is no consensus". It would help of course if he defined what he means by "God" here. I pointed out that in the case of specific named gods, "There is pretty general consensus that Thor and Eros don't exist except as personifications of natural forces. So why can we not also come to the same conclusions about Jehovah and Vishnu?" dhw responds that Jehovah and Vishnu exist because Jews and Hindus believe that they do. I'm afraid this is woefully insufficient to prove "existence", other than as ideas that people have.-I did not respond that Jehovah and Vishnu exist because Jews and Hindus believe that they do. I wrote: "As an atheist, you believe that Jehovah / Vishnu do not exist; Jews and Hindus believe that they do." The fact that there is no consensus confirms that "there is no such thing as reasonable certainty on the subject." In this case, the woeful insufficiency is your absurd distortion of what I wrote.
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